Inter Club d'Escaldes 1-3 Universitatea Craiova: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Europa Conference League Matchday 2 · Thursday 22 October 2026 · Camp de Futbol d'Aixovall, Sant Julià de Lòria · referee C. Vergetis · full time
Full time: Inter Club d'Escaldes 1-3 Universitatea Craiova
Inter Club d'Escaldes 1-3 Universitatea Craiova: Universitatea Craiova took the points in Europa Conference League Matchday 2 on Thursday 22 October 2026 at Camp de Futbol d'Aixovall. The goals: Assad Al-Hamlawi 3', Ștefan Baiaram 5', Borja Arellano 77', Simon Elisor 86'. Moneyball's pre-match estimate had the result right.
How Universitatea Craiova won it
Assad Al-Hamlawi put Universitatea Craiova ahead in the 3rd minute, set up by Carlos Mora. Ștefan Baiaram made it 0-2 to Universitatea Craiova in the 5th minute, set up by Nicușor Bancu. Borja Arellano made it 1-2 to Inter Club d'Escaldes in the 77th minute, set up by Pablo Molina. Simon Elisor made it 1-3 to Universitatea Craiova in the 86th minute, set up by Alexandru Cicâldău.
It was 0-2 at half-time.
The referee, C. Vergetis, showed 2 yellow cards: 1 to Inter Club d'Escaldes and 1 to Universitatea Craiova.
Inter Club d'Escaldes: F. Ortiz Martinez, 4-1-4-1 · Universitatea Craiova: F. Amaral Rino Coelho, 3-4-3.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
An Universitatea Craiova win was the estimate's call at 36%, and it came in. The exact score was another matter: 1-1 was the likeliest, 1-3 the real one.
The match had far more goals than expected: the estimate was about 2.1 goals and there were 4.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 35%; with 4 goals the over came in, against the way the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 43%; both did, against the estimate.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-22, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
Inter Club d'Escaldes had 5 shots on target, Universitatea Craiova 7.
Inter Club d'Escaldes had 65% of the ball, but Universitatea Craiova took the points.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Inter Club d'Escaldes came into it with 3 Europa Conference League matches played, scoring 0.7 and conceding 2.3 a match, with 0.30 expected goals for and – against, and had won 0% of their matches.
Universitatea Craiova came into it with 3 Europa Conference League matches played, scoring 2.0 and conceding 0.7 a match, with 1.60 expected goals for and – against, and had won 67% of their matches.
Inter Club d'Escaldes vs Universitatea Craiova: the match in numbers
| Inter Club d'Escaldes | Match statistics | Universitatea Craiova |
|---|---|---|
| 65% | Ball possession | 35% |
| 7 | Total shots | 16 |
| 5 | Shots on target | 7 |
| 2 | Big chances | 6 |
| 587 | Total passes | 307 |
| 88% | Pass accuracy | 78% |
| 3 | Corners | 6 |
| 20 | Fouls | 9 |
| 4 | Offsides | 2 |
| 13 | Tackles | 11 |
| 4 | Saves | 4 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Carlos Mora (Universitatea Craiova), rated 7.6 by Sportmonks, with 1 assist.
Inter Club d'Escaldes
- Pablo Molina 7.1 1 assist
- Borja Arellano 7.0 1 goal
- Javi Díaz 6.8
- Jilmar Torres 6.6
- Álex Sánchez 6.5
Universitatea Craiova
- Carlos Mora 7.6 1 assist
- Assad Al-Hamlawi 7.6 1 goal
- Vladimir Screciu 7.5
- Nicușor Bancu 7.5 1 assist
- Ștefan Baiaram 7.4 1 goal
The lowest-rated starter was Domi Berlanga at 6.0. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Inter Club d'Escaldes: Inter Club d'Escaldes vs FC København Thursday 26 November 2026 · Europa Conference League
- Universitatea Craiova: Brighton & Hove Albion vs Universitatea Craiova Thursday 26 November 2026 · Europa Conference League
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Inter Club d'Escaldes vs Universitatea Craiova
What was the score in Inter Club d'Escaldes vs Universitatea Craiova?
Inter Club d'Escaldes 1-3 Universitatea Craiova (half-time 0-2), Europa Conference League, Thursday 22 October 2026.
Who scored in Inter Club d'Escaldes vs Universitatea Craiova?
Assad Al-Hamlawi 3', Ștefan Baiaram 5', Borja Arellano 77', Simon Elisor 86'.
Did Moneyball predict Inter Club d'Escaldes vs Universitatea Craiova correctly?
An Universitatea Craiova win was the estimate's call at 36%, and it came in. The exact score was another matter: 1-1 was the likeliest, 1-3 the real one.
Who was man of the match in Inter Club d'Escaldes vs Universitatea Craiova?
Carlos Mora, rated 7.6 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Inter Club d'Escaldes vs Universitatea Craiova?
C. Vergetis.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.