Instituto 2-2 Newell's Old Boys: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Liga Profesional Argentina Matchday 16 · Sunday 8 November 2026 · Estadio Presidente Juan Domingo Perón, Avellaneda · referee L. Rey Hilfer · full time
Full time: Instituto 2-2 Newell's Old Boys
Instituto and Newell's Old Boys drew 2-2 in Liga Profesional Argentina Matchday 16 on Sunday 8 November 2026 at Estadio Presidente Juan Domingo Perón. The goals: Facundo Suárez 7', Walter Núñez 66', Walter Mazzantti 79', Matías Tissera 90+3'. It went against Moneyball's pre-match estimate.
How the match unfolded
Facundo Suárez put Instituto ahead in the 7th minute, set up by Jhon Córdoba. Newell's Old Boys levelled at 1-1 in the 66th minute through Walter Núñez, set up by Jerónimo Gómez Mattar. Newell's Old Boys turned it round: Walter Mazzantti made it 1-2 in the 79th minute, set up by Francisco Scarpeccio. Instituto levelled at 2-2 in the 90th minute (+3) through Matías Tissera, set up by Diego Sosa. It came with the clock nearly run down, and it rescued a point.
It was 1-0 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.
The lead changed hands once.
The referee, L. Rey Hilfer, showed 1 yellow card: 1 to Instituto and 0 to Newell's Old Boys.
Instituto: D. Flores, 3-4-2-1 · Newell's Old Boys: F. Kudelka, 4-2-3-1.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
The prediction missed. Before kick-off Moneyball leaned to an Instituto win at 54% and gave a draw 28%; the match went the other way.
The match had far more goals than expected: the estimate was about 2.2 goals and there were 4.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 38%; with 4 goals the over came in, against the way the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 41%; both did, against the estimate.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-07, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
On the day the expected goals were 0.72 for Instituto and 2.19 for Newell's Old Boys.
Instituto scored about 1.3 more than their chances were worth: clinical finishing, or a goalkeeper having a bad day.
Newell's Old Boys created the better chances, 2.19 xG to 0.72, and still did not win. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.
The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected Instituto to create more, and Newell's Old Boys did.
Instituto had 3 shots on target, Newell's Old Boys 4.
Instituto had 50% of the ball.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Instituto came into it with 32 Liga Profesional Argentina matches played, scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.0 a match, with 1.40 expected goals for and 0.83 against, and had won 50% of their matches.
Newell's Old Boys came into it with 32 Liga Profesional Argentina matches played, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.3 a match, with 0.95 expected goals for and 1.04 against, and had won 25% of their matches.
Instituto vs Newell's Old Boys: the match in numbers
| Instituto | Match statistics | Newell's Old Boys |
|---|---|---|
| 50% | Ball possession | 50% |
| 0.72 | Expected goals (xG) | 2.19 |
| 8 | Total shots | 11 |
| 3 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 4 | Big chances | 2 |
| 436 | Total passes | 445 |
| 77% | Pass accuracy | 79% |
| 1 | Corners | 3 |
| 14 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Offsides | 4 |
| 13 | Tackles | 8 |
| 2 | Saves | 1 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 0 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Walter Núñez (Newell's Old Boys), rated 7.9 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal.
Instituto
- Jonás Acevedo 7.4
- Diego Sosa 7.1 1 assist
- Jhon Córdoba 7.1 1 assist
- Facundo Suárez 7.1 1 goal
- Matías Tissera 6.9 1 goal
Newell's Old Boys
- Walter Núñez 7.9 1 goal
- Walter Mazzantti 7.2 1 goal
- Jerónimo Gómez Mattar 7.0 1 assist
- Oscar Salomón 7.0
- Francisco Scarpeccio 6.9 1 assist
The lowest-rated starter was Lucas Gómez at 6.2. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Instituto: Instituto vs Huracán Monday 23 November 2026 · Liga Profesional Argentina
- Newell's Old Boys: Gimnasia La Plata vs Newell's Old Boys Monday 23 November 2026 · Liga Profesional Argentina
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Instituto vs Newell's Old Boys
What was the score in Instituto vs Newell's Old Boys?
Instituto 2-2 Newell's Old Boys (half-time 1-0), Liga Profesional Argentina, Sunday 8 November 2026.
Who scored in Instituto vs Newell's Old Boys?
Facundo Suárez 7', Walter Núñez 66', Walter Mazzantti 79', Matías Tissera 90+3'.
Did Moneyball predict Instituto vs Newell's Old Boys correctly?
The prediction missed. Before kick-off Moneyball leaned to an Instituto win at 54% and gave a draw 28%; the match went the other way.
Who was man of the match in Instituto vs Newell's Old Boys?
Walter Núñez, rated 7.9 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Instituto vs Newell's Old Boys?
L. Rey Hilfer.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.