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Independiente Rivadavia 3-1 Banfield: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

Full time: Independiente Rivadavia 3-1 Banfield

Independiente Rivadavia 3-1 Banfield: Independiente Rivadavia took the points in Liga Profesional Argentina Matchday 15 on Tuesday 3 November 2026 at Estadio Juan Bautista Gargantini. The goals: Santiago Daniele 9', José Florentín 11', José Florentín 15'. Moneyball's pre-match estimate had the result right.

How Independiente Rivadavia won it

Banfield struck first through Santiago Daniele in the 9th minute, set up by David Zalazar. Independiente Rivadavia levelled at 1-1 in the 11th minute through José Florentín, set up by Juan Elordi. Independiente Rivadavia turned it round: José Florentín made it 2-1 in the 15th minute, set up by Leonel Bucca. An own goal by Santiago Daniele made it 3-1 to Independiente Rivadavia in the 45th minute.

It was 3-1 at half-time, and nothing changed after the break.

José Florentín scored twice.

The lead changed hands once.

The referee, ?. Carranza, showed 3 yellow cards: 3 to Independiente Rivadavia and 0 to Banfield.

Independiente Rivadavia: A. Berti, 4-3-1-2 · Banfield: P. Troglio, 4-3-3.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

The prediction was right. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Independiente Rivadavia Win, and on 3-1 it was right.

The estimate's most likely result was an Independiente Rivadavia win at 60%, and that is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (11%).

On goals the estimate was close: about 2.9 expected, 4 scored.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 54%; with 4 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 53%; both did, in line with the estimate.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-02, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 0.55 for Independiente Rivadavia and 0.73 for Banfield.

Independiente Rivadavia scored about 2.4 more than their chances were worth: clinical finishing, or a goalkeeper having a bad day.

Independiente Rivadavia had 2 shots on target, Banfield 2.

Banfield had 53% of the ball, but Independiente Rivadavia took the points.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Independiente Rivadavia came into it with 33 Liga Profesional Argentina matches played, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.2 a match, with 1.33 expected goals for and 1.13 against, and had won 48% of their matches.

Banfield came into it with 32 Liga Profesional Argentina matches played, scoring 1.1 and conceding 1.4 a match, with 1.11 expected goals for and 1.68 against, and had won 25% of their matches.

Independiente Rivadavia vs Banfield: the match in numbers

Independiente RivadaviaMatch statisticsBanfield
47%Ball possession53%
0.55Expected goals (xG)0.73
12Total shots13
2Shots on target2
2Big chances0
307Total passes348
63%Pass accuracy67%
5Corners4
10Fouls7
1Offsides3
18Tackles13
1Saves0
3Yellow cards0

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: José Florentín (Independiente Rivadavia), rated 9.0 by Sportmonks, with 2 goals.

Independiente Rivadavia

Banfield

The lowest-rated starter was Santiago Esquivel at 6.1. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Independiente Rivadavia vs Banfield

What was the score in Independiente Rivadavia vs Banfield?

Independiente Rivadavia 3-1 Banfield (half-time 3-1), Liga Profesional Argentina, Tuesday 3 November 2026.

Who scored in Independiente Rivadavia vs Banfield?

Santiago Daniele 9', José Florentín 11', José Florentín 15'.

Did Moneyball predict Independiente Rivadavia vs Banfield correctly?

The prediction was right. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Independiente Rivadavia Win, and on 3-1 it was right.

Who was man of the match in Independiente Rivadavia vs Banfield?

José Florentín, rated 9.0 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Independiente Rivadavia vs Banfield?

?. Carranza.

Every match, before and after

Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.

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Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.