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Hearts 1-1 Nordsjælland: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

Full time: Hearts 1-1 Nordsjælland

Hearts and Nordsjælland drew 1-1 in Europa Conference League Matchday 1 on Thursday 15 October 2026 at Tynecastle Park. The goals: Oisin McEntee 33', Nicklas Røjkjær 86'. It went against Moneyball's pre-match estimate.

How the match unfolded

Hearts struck first through Oisin McEntee in the 33rd minute, set up by Jamie McCart. Nordsjælland levelled at 1-1 in the 86th minute through Nicklas Røjkjær, set up by Juho Lähteenmäki. It came with the clock nearly run down, and it rescued a point.

It was 1-0 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.

The referee, D. Kos, showed 6 yellow cards: 3 to Hearts and 3 to Nordsjælland.

Hearts: W. Vrancken, 4-2-3-1 · Nordsjælland: J. Olsen, 3-4-3.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

The prediction missed. Before kick-off Moneyball leaned to a Nordsjælland win at 79% and gave a draw 14%; the match went the other way. At 14%, it was a result the numbers saw about one time in 7.

The goals dried up: the estimate expected about 3.5 and the match produced two.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 68%; with 2 goals the under came in, against the way the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 50%; both did, against the estimate.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-09, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

Hearts had 7 shots on target, Nordsjælland 3.

Nordsjælland's goalkeeper made 6 saves.

Nordsjælland had 57% of the ball.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Hearts came into it with 3 Europa Conference League matches played, scoring 0.7 and conceding 2.0 a match, with 2.09 expected goals for and – against, and had won 0% of their matches.

Nordsjælland came into it with 3 Europa Conference League matches played, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.7 a match, with 1.86 expected goals for and – against, and had won 0% of their matches.

Hearts vs Nordsjælland: the match in numbers

HeartsMatch statisticsNordsjælland
43%Ball possession57%
20Total shots11
7Shots on target3
5Big chances2
375Total passes506
76%Pass accuracy82%
6Corners7
14Fouls14
2Offsides0
19Tackles18
2Saves6
3Yellow cards3

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Jamie McCart (Hearts), rated 7.8 by Sportmonks, with 1 assist.

Hearts

Nordsjælland

The lowest-rated starter was Noah Markmann at 6.2. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Hearts vs Nordsjælland

What was the score in Hearts vs Nordsjælland?

Hearts 1-1 Nordsjælland (half-time 1-0), Europa Conference League, Thursday 15 October 2026.

Who scored in Hearts vs Nordsjælland?

Oisin McEntee 33', Nicklas Røjkjær 86'.

Did Moneyball predict Hearts vs Nordsjælland correctly?

The prediction missed. Before kick-off Moneyball leaned to a Nordsjælland win at 79% and gave a draw 14%; the match went the other way. At 14%, it was a result the numbers saw about one time in 7.

Who was man of the match in Hearts vs Nordsjælland?

Jamie McCart, rated 7.8 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Hearts vs Nordsjælland?

D. Kos.

Every match, before and after

Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.

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Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.