Hearts 1-1 Nordsjælland: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Europa Conference League Matchday 1 · Thursday 15 October 2026 · Tynecastle Park, Edinburgh · referee D. Kos · full time
Full time: Hearts 1-1 Nordsjælland
Hearts and Nordsjælland drew 1-1 in Europa Conference League Matchday 1 on Thursday 15 October 2026 at Tynecastle Park. The goals: Oisin McEntee 33', Nicklas Røjkjær 86'. It went against Moneyball's pre-match estimate.
How the match unfolded
Hearts struck first through Oisin McEntee in the 33rd minute, set up by Jamie McCart. Nordsjælland levelled at 1-1 in the 86th minute through Nicklas Røjkjær, set up by Juho Lähteenmäki. It came with the clock nearly run down, and it rescued a point.
It was 1-0 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.
The referee, D. Kos, showed 6 yellow cards: 3 to Hearts and 3 to Nordsjælland.
Hearts: W. Vrancken, 4-2-3-1 · Nordsjælland: J. Olsen, 3-4-3.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
The prediction missed. Before kick-off Moneyball leaned to a Nordsjælland win at 79% and gave a draw 14%; the match went the other way. At 14%, it was a result the numbers saw about one time in 7.
The goals dried up: the estimate expected about 3.5 and the match produced two.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 68%; with 2 goals the under came in, against the way the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 50%; both did, against the estimate.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-09, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
Hearts had 7 shots on target, Nordsjælland 3.
Nordsjælland's goalkeeper made 6 saves.
Nordsjælland had 57% of the ball.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Hearts came into it with 3 Europa Conference League matches played, scoring 0.7 and conceding 2.0 a match, with 2.09 expected goals for and – against, and had won 0% of their matches.
Nordsjælland came into it with 3 Europa Conference League matches played, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.7 a match, with 1.86 expected goals for and – against, and had won 0% of their matches.
Hearts vs Nordsjælland: the match in numbers
| Hearts | Match statistics | Nordsjælland |
|---|---|---|
| 43% | Ball possession | 57% |
| 20 | Total shots | 11 |
| 7 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 5 | Big chances | 2 |
| 375 | Total passes | 506 |
| 76% | Pass accuracy | 82% |
| 6 | Corners | 7 |
| 14 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Offsides | 0 |
| 19 | Tackles | 18 |
| 2 | Saves | 6 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Jamie McCart (Hearts), rated 7.8 by Sportmonks, with 1 assist.
Hearts
- Jamie McCart 7.8 1 assist
- Oisin McEntee 7.3 1 goal
- Calvin Miller 7.3
- Laurent Mendy 7.2
- Josh McPake 7.2
Nordsjælland
- Andreas Hansen 7.5
- Ibrahim Adel 7.5
- Justin Janssen 7.4
- Nicklas Røjkjær 7.3 1 goal
- Juho Lähteenmäki 7.1 1 assist
The lowest-rated starter was Noah Markmann at 6.2. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Hearts: Hearts vs Monaco Thursday 26 November 2026 · Europa Conference League
- Nordsjælland: Nordsjælland vs Panathinaikos Thursday 26 November 2026 · Europa Conference League
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Hearts vs Nordsjælland
What was the score in Hearts vs Nordsjælland?
Hearts 1-1 Nordsjælland (half-time 1-0), Europa Conference League, Thursday 15 October 2026.
Who scored in Hearts vs Nordsjælland?
Oisin McEntee 33', Nicklas Røjkjær 86'.
Did Moneyball predict Hearts vs Nordsjælland correctly?
The prediction missed. Before kick-off Moneyball leaned to a Nordsjælland win at 79% and gave a draw 14%; the match went the other way. At 14%, it was a result the numbers saw about one time in 7.
Who was man of the match in Hearts vs Nordsjælland?
Jamie McCart, rated 7.8 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Hearts vs Nordsjælland?
D. Kos.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.