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Gimnasia La Plata 2-1 Belgrano: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

Full time: Gimnasia La Plata 2-1 Belgrano

Gimnasia La Plata 2-1 Belgrano: Gimnasia La Plata took the points in Liga Profesional Argentina Matchday 16 on Thursday 5 November 2026 at Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo. The goals: Lucas Janson 6', Agustín Auzmendi 27', Alcides Benítez 45+1'. Moneyball's pre-match estimate had this exact score as the most likely.

How Gimnasia La Plata won it

Lucas Janson put Gimnasia La Plata ahead in the 6th minute. Agustín Auzmendi made it 2-0 to Gimnasia La Plata in the 27th minute, set up by Matías Melluso. Alcides Benítez made it 2-1 to Belgrano in the 45th minute (+1).

It was 2-1 at half-time, and nothing changed after the break.

The referee, L. Lobo Medina, showed 7 yellow cards: 3 to Gimnasia La Plata and 4 to Belgrano.

Gimnasia La Plata: G. Pereyra, 4-3-1-2 · Belgrano: R. Zielinski, 4-2-3-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

Moneyball called this one exactly. The most likely score before kick-off was 2-1, at 9%, and 2-1 is how it finished.

On goals the estimate was close: about 2.5 expected, 3 scored.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 46%; with 3 goals the over came in, against the way the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 51%; both did, in line with the estimate.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-05, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 1.53 for Gimnasia La Plata and 1.14 for Belgrano.

Gimnasia La Plata had 4 shots on target, Belgrano 6.

Gimnasia La Plata's goalkeeper made 5 saves.

Belgrano had 63% of the ball, but Gimnasia La Plata took the points.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Gimnasia La Plata came into it with 34 Liga Profesional Argentina matches played, scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.2 a match, with 1.32 expected goals for and 1.17 against, and had won 53% of their matches.

Belgrano came into it with 36 Liga Profesional Argentina matches played, scoring 1.1 and conceding 0.9 a match, with 1.22 expected goals for and 1.32 against, and had won 44% of their matches.

Gimnasia La Plata vs Belgrano: the match in numbers

Gimnasia La PlataMatch statisticsBelgrano
37%Ball possession63%
1.53Expected goals (xG)1.14
12Total shots20
4Shots on target6
3Big chances0
275Total passes464
75%Pass accuracy85%
2Corners7
10Fouls18
2Offsides2
19Tackles20
5Saves2
3Yellow cards4

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Agustín Auzmendi (Gimnasia La Plata), rated 7.8 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal.

Gimnasia La Plata

Belgrano

The lowest-rated starter was Pablo Aguiar at 6.2. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Gimnasia La Plata vs Belgrano

What was the score in Gimnasia La Plata vs Belgrano?

Gimnasia La Plata 2-1 Belgrano (half-time 2-1), Liga Profesional Argentina, Thursday 5 November 2026.

Who scored in Gimnasia La Plata vs Belgrano?

Lucas Janson 6', Agustín Auzmendi 27', Alcides Benítez 45+1'.

Did Moneyball predict Gimnasia La Plata vs Belgrano correctly?

Moneyball called this one exactly. The most likely score before kick-off was 2-1, at 9%, and 2-1 is how it finished.

Who was man of the match in Gimnasia La Plata vs Belgrano?

Agustín Auzmendi, rated 7.8 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Gimnasia La Plata vs Belgrano?

L. Lobo Medina.

Every match, before and after

Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.

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Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.