Getafe 1-1 Rayo Vallecano: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
La Liga Matchday 9 · Monday 19 October 2026 · Coliseum Alfonso Pérez, Getafe · referee J. González Esteban · full time
Full time: Getafe 1-1 Rayo Vallecano
Getafe and Rayo Vallecano drew 1-1 in La Liga Matchday 9 on Monday 19 October 2026 at Coliseum Alfonso Pérez. The goals: Álvaro García 11', Martín Satriano 56'. Moneyball's pre-match estimate had this exact score as the most likely.
How the match unfolded
Rayo Vallecano struck first through Álvaro García in the 11th minute, set up by Jorge de Frutos. Getafe levelled at 1-1 in the 56th minute through Martín Satriano, set up by Francho Serrano.
It was 0-1 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.
Dakonam Djené of Getafe was sent off in the 28th minute. The referee, J. González Esteban, showed 9 yellow cards: 6 to Getafe and 3 to Rayo Vallecano.
Getafe: J. Bordalás Jiménez, 4-4-2 · Rayo Vallecano: B. San José Gil, 4-2-3-1.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was HT Over 0.75. On the half-time score, 0-1 it was half right.
The estimate's most likely result was a Rayo Vallecano win at 39%; a draw, at 31%, is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (14%), exactly the final score.
On goals the estimate was close: about 2.2 expected, 2 scored.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 38%; with 2 goals the under came in, as the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 45%; both did, against the estimate.
The pre-match consensus had a Rayo Vallecano win at 36%, the same lean as Moneyball.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-09, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
On the day the expected goals were 1.82 for Getafe and 0.98 for Rayo Vallecano.
Getafe created the better chances, 1.82 xG to 0.98, and still did not win. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.
The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected Rayo Vallecano to create more, and Getafe did.
Getafe had 4 shots on target, Rayo Vallecano 5.
Rayo Vallecano had 69% of the ball.
A red card changed the shape of the match, and no pre-match model can see one coming.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Getafe came into it with 12 La Liga matches played, scoring 0.7 and conceding 1.5 a match, with 0.90 expected goals for and 1.44 against, and had won 25% of their matches.
Rayo Vallecano came into it with 11 La Liga matches played, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.9 a match, with 1.33 expected goals for and 1.77 against, and had won 27% of their matches.
Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano: the match in numbers
| Getafe | Match statistics | Rayo Vallecano |
|---|---|---|
| 31% | Ball possession | 69% |
| 1.82 | Expected goals (xG) | 0.98 |
| 12 | Total shots | 21 |
| 4 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 1 | Big chances | 3 |
| 254 | Total passes | 581 |
| 71% | Pass accuracy | 90% |
| 8 | Corners | 8 |
| 12 | Fouls | 9 |
| 0 | Offsides | 3 |
| 13 | Tackles | 10 |
| 4 | Saves | 3 |
| 6 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Martín Satriano (Getafe), rated 7.9 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal.
Getafe
- Martín Satriano 7.9 1 goal
- David Soria 7.1
- Francho Serrano 7.0 1 assist
- Enes Ünal 7.0
- Andrés García 6.9
Rayo Vallecano
- Unai López 7.8
- Álvaro García 7.5 1 goal
- Florian Lejeune 7.4
- Pedro Díaz 7.3
- Jorge de Frutos 7.1 1 assist
The lowest-rated starter was Dakonam Djené at 4.0. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Getafe: Getafe vs Atlético de Madrid Sunday 22 November 2026 · La Liga
- Rayo Vallecano: Rayo Vallecano vs Valencia Saturday 21 November 2026 · La Liga
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano
What was the score in Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano?
Getafe 1-1 Rayo Vallecano (half-time 0-1), La Liga, Monday 19 October 2026.
Who scored in Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano?
Álvaro García 11', Martín Satriano 56'.
Did Moneyball predict Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano correctly?
Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was HT Over 0.75. On the half-time score, 0-1 it was half right.
Who was man of the match in Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano?
Martín Satriano, rated 7.9 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano?
J. González Esteban.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.