Gençlerbirliği 5-0 Alanyaspor: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Süper Lig Matchday 10 · Monday 2 November 2026 · Eryaman Stadyumu, Ankara · referee F. Tokail · full time
Full time: Gençlerbirliği 5-0 Alanyaspor
Gençlerbirliği beat Alanyaspor 5-0 in Süper Lig Matchday 10 on Monday 2 November 2026 at Eryaman Stadyumu. The goals: Oğulcan Ülgün 1', Franco Tongya 59', Tiago Gouveia 66', Pedro Mendes 68', Tiago Gouveia 78'. Moneyball's pre-match estimate had the result right.
How Gençlerbirliği won it
Oğulcan Ülgün put Gençlerbirliği ahead in the 1st minute, set up by Franco Tongya. Franco Tongya made it 2-0 to Gençlerbirliği in the 59th minute, set up by Adama Traoré. Tiago Gouveia made it 3-0 to Gençlerbirliği in the 66th minute, set up by Adama Traoré. Pedro Mendes made it 4-0 to Gençlerbirliği in the 68th minute, set up by Franco Tongya. Tiago Gouveia made it 5-0 to Gençlerbirliği in the 78th minute, set up by İrfan Can Eğribayat.
It was 1-0 at half-time.
Tiago Gouveia scored twice.
The referee, F. Tokail, showed 4 yellow cards: 1 to Gençlerbirliği and 3 to Alanyaspor.
Gençlerbirliği: B. Storck, 4-1-4-1 · Alanyaspor: N. Pereira Costa, 3-5-2.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
The prediction was right. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Over 2.50, and on 5-0 it was right.
The estimate's most likely result was a Gençlerbirliği win at 39%, and that is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (13%).
The match had far more goals than expected: the estimate was about 2.6 goals and there were 5.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 49%; with 5 goals the over came in, against the way the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 54%; they did not both score, against the estimate.
The pre-match consensus had an Alanyaspor win at 36%, a different lean from Moneyball's.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-02, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
On the day the expected goals were 0.35 for Gençlerbirliği and 1.60 for Alanyaspor.
Gençlerbirliği scored about 4.7 more than their chances were worth: clinical finishing, or a goalkeeper having a bad day.
Alanyaspor left about 1.6 goals' worth of chances on the pitch.
Alanyaspor created the better chances, 1.60 xG to 0.35, and still lost. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.
The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected Gençlerbirliği to create more, and Alanyaspor did.
Gençlerbirliği had 7 shots on target, Alanyaspor 3.
Alanyaspor had 59% of the ball, but Gençlerbirliği took the points.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Gençlerbirliği came into it with 11 Süper Lig matches played, scoring 1.1 and conceding 1.9 a match, with 1.10 expected goals for and 2.02 against, and had won 27% of their matches.
Alanyaspor came into it with 11 Süper Lig matches played, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.6 a match, with 1.12 expected goals for and 1.80 against, and had won 27% of their matches.
Gençlerbirliği vs Alanyaspor: the match in numbers
| Gençlerbirliği | Match statistics | Alanyaspor |
|---|---|---|
| 41% | Ball possession | 59% |
| 0.35 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.60 |
| 12 | Total shots | 9 |
| 7 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 5 | Big chances | 1 |
| 316 | Total passes | 454 |
| 76% | Pass accuracy | 81% |
| 3 | Corners | 1 |
| 15 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Offsides | 3 |
| 9 | Tackles | 10 |
| 3 | Saves | 2 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Franco Tongya (Gençlerbirliği), rated 8.6 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal, 2 assists.
Gençlerbirliği
- Franco Tongya 8.6 1 goal, 2 assists
- Tiago Gouveia 8.2 2 goals
- İrfan Can Eğribayat 7.9 1 assist
- Adama Traoré 7.6 2 assists
- Pedro Mendes 7.5 1 goal
Alanyaspor
- İbrahim Kaya 7.0
- Gaius Makouta 7.0
- Bedirhan Özyurt 6.6
- Iván Cédric 6.5
- Enes Keskin 6.4
The lowest-rated starter was Nuno Lima at 5.9. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Gençlerbirliği: Gençlerbirliği vs Gaziantep F.K. Saturday 21 November 2026 · Süper Lig
- Alanyaspor: Kasımpaşa vs Alanyaspor Sunday 22 November 2026 · Süper Lig
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Gençlerbirliği vs Alanyaspor
What was the score in Gençlerbirliği vs Alanyaspor?
Gençlerbirliği 5-0 Alanyaspor (half-time 1-0), Süper Lig, Monday 2 November 2026.
Who scored in Gençlerbirliği vs Alanyaspor?
Oğulcan Ülgün 1', Franco Tongya 59', Tiago Gouveia 66', Pedro Mendes 68', Tiago Gouveia 78'.
Did Moneyball predict Gençlerbirliği vs Alanyaspor correctly?
The prediction was right. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Over 2.50, and on 5-0 it was right.
Who was man of the match in Gençlerbirliği vs Alanyaspor?
Franco Tongya, rated 8.6 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Gençlerbirliği vs Alanyaspor?
F. Tokail.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.