Galatasaray 4-3 Amed SK: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Süper Lig Matchday 11 · Saturday 7 November 2026 · Rams Park, İstanbul · referee H. Meler · full time
Full time: Galatasaray 4-3 Amed SK
Galatasaray won 4-3 at home to Amed SK in Süper Lig Matchday 11 on Saturday 7 November 2026. The goals: Rafael Leão 7', Aleksey Batrakov 59', Dia Saba 62', Gift Orban 65', Barış Alper Yılmaz 80', Yira Sor 90+2'. It went against Moneyball's pre-match estimate.
How Galatasaray won it
Rafael Leão put Galatasaray ahead in the 7th minute, set up by Lucas Torreira. An own goal by Alban Lafont made it 2-0 to Galatasaray in the 45th minute. Aleksey Batrakov made it 3-0 to Galatasaray in the 59th minute, set up by Roland Sallai. Dia Saba made it 3-1 to Amed SK in the 62nd minute. Gift Orban made it 3-2 to Amed SK in the 65th minute, set up by Furkan Soyalp. Barış Alper Yılmaz made it 4-2 to Galatasaray in the 80th minute, set up by Gabriel Sara. Yira Sor made it 4-3 to Amed SK in the 90th minute (+2).
It was 2-0 at half-time.
The referee, H. Meler, showed 3 yellow cards: 0 to Galatasaray and 3 to Amed SK.
Galatasaray: O. Buruk, 4-2-3-1 · Amed SK: B. Hasi, 4-3-1-2.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Under 3.25, and on 4-3 it was wrong.
The estimate's most likely result was a Galatasaray win at 64%, and that is what happened. Its single most likely score was 2-1 (10%).
The match had far more goals than expected: the estimate was about 3.4 goals and there were 7.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 66%; with 7 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 61%; both did, in line with the estimate.
The pre-match consensus had a Galatasaray win at 66%, the same lean as Moneyball.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-07, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
On the day the expected goals were 1.13 for Galatasaray and 1.35 for Amed SK.
Galatasaray scored about 2.9 more than their chances were worth: clinical finishing, or a goalkeeper having a bad day.
Amed SK made more of their chances than the xG suggests, by about 1.6 goals.
Galatasaray had 6 shots on target, Amed SK 5.
Galatasaray had 57% of the ball and turned it into the win.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Galatasaray came into it with 11 Süper Lig matches played, scoring 2.5 and conceding 1.4 a match, with 2.06 expected goals for and 1.00 against, and had won 82% of their matches.
Amed SK came into it with 11 Süper Lig matches played, scoring 2.5 and conceding 1.4 a match, with 1.89 expected goals for and 0.91 against, and had won 64% of their matches.
Galatasaray vs Amed SK: the match in numbers
| Galatasaray | Match statistics | Amed SK |
|---|---|---|
| 57% | Ball possession | 43% |
| 1.13 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.35 |
| 17 | Total shots | 14 |
| 6 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 4 | Big chances | 2 |
| 491 | Total passes | 371 |
| 83% | Pass accuracy | 80% |
| 3 | Corners | 6 |
| 8 | Fouls | 11 |
| 3 | Offsides | 8 |
| 15 | Tackles | 10 |
| 2 | Saves | 3 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 3 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Rafael Leão (Galatasaray), rated 8.1 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal.
Galatasaray
- Rafael Leão 8.1 1 goal
- Barış Alper Yılmaz 7.6 1 goal
- Lucas Torreira 7.5 1 assist
- Aleksey Batrakov 7.5 1 goal
- Gabriel Sara 7.4 1 assist
Amed SK
- Dia Saba 7.4 1 goal
- Yira Sor 7.3 1 goal
- Furkan Soyalp 7.1 1 assist
- Gift Orban 7.1 1 goal
- Rayan Raveloson 7.0
The lowest-rated starter was Alban Lafont at 5.9. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Galatasaray: Galatasaray vs Samsunspor Saturday 21 November 2026 · Süper Lig
- Amed SK: Amed SK vs Rizespor Saturday 21 November 2026 · Süper Lig
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Galatasaray vs Amed SK
What was the score in Galatasaray vs Amed SK?
Galatasaray 4-3 Amed SK (half-time 2-0), Süper Lig, Saturday 7 November 2026.
Who scored in Galatasaray vs Amed SK?
Rafael Leão 7', Aleksey Batrakov 59', Dia Saba 62', Gift Orban 65', Barış Alper Yılmaz 80', Yira Sor 90+2'.
Did Moneyball predict Galatasaray vs Amed SK correctly?
The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Under 3.25, and on 4-3 it was wrong.
Who was man of the match in Galatasaray vs Amed SK?
Rafael Leão, rated 8.1 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Galatasaray vs Amed SK?
H. Meler.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.