Fulham 1-1 Newcastle United: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

How the match unfolded

The opening goal came in the 80th minute: Jacob Murphy for Newcastle United. Fulham levelled at 1-1 in the 83rd minute through Rodrigo Muniz.

It was 0-0 at half-time.

The referee, R. Jones, showed 2 yellow cards: 0 to Fulham and 2 to Newcastle United.

Fulham: Á. Arbeloa Coca, 4-2-3-1 · Newcastle United: M. Jaissle, 4-2-3-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Over 2.75, and on 1-1 it was wrong.

The estimate's most likely result was a Fulham win at 49%; a draw, at 24%, is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (11%), exactly the final score.

On goals the estimate was close: about 3.1 expected, 2 scored.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 59%; with 2 goals the under came in, against the way the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 61%; both did, in line with the estimate.

The pre-match consensus had a Fulham win at 47%, the same lean as Moneyball.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-07, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 1.03 for Fulham and 0.87 for Newcastle United.

Fulham had 5 shots on target, Newcastle United 5.

Newcastle United's goalkeeper made 5 saves.

Fulham had 58% of the ball.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Fulham came into it with 10 Premier League matches played, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.2 a match, with 1.58 expected goals for and 1.26 against, and had won 20% of their matches.

Newcastle United came into it with 10 Premier League matches played, scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.6 a match, with 1.26 expected goals for and 1.84 against, and had won 30% of their matches.

Fulham vs Newcastle United: the match in numbers

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Jacob Murphy (Newcastle United), rated 7.8 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal.

Fulham

• Alex Iwobi 7.5
• Rodrigo Muniz 7.3 1 goal
• Sander Berge 7.3
• Calvin Bassey 7.0
• Timothy Castagne 7.0

Newcastle United

• Jacob Murphy 7.8 1 goal
• Lewis Hall 7.3
• Lukas Hornicek 7.0
• Malick Thiaw 6.9
• Lewis Miley 6.8

The lowest-rated starter was Gonzalo García Torres at 6.3. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

• Fulham: Manchester City vs Fulham Saturday 21 November 2026 · Premier League
• Newcastle United: Newcastle United vs Arsenal Saturday 21 November 2026 · Premier League

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Fulham vs Newcastle United

What was the score in Fulham vs Newcastle United?

Fulham 1-1 Newcastle United (half-time 0-0), Premier League, Saturday 7 November 2026.

Who scored in Fulham vs Newcastle United?

Jacob Murphy 80', Rodrigo Muniz 83'.

Did Moneyball predict Fulham vs Newcastle United correctly?

The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Over 2.75, and on 1-1 it was wrong.

Who was man of the match in Fulham vs Newcastle United?

Jacob Murphy, rated 7.8 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Fulham vs Newcastle United?

R. Jones.