Frosinone 5-1 Lecce: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

How Frosinone won it

Matteo Cichella put Frosinone ahead in the 25th minute, set up by Farès Ghedjemis. Giacomo Calò from the penalty spot made it 2-0 to Frosinone in the 45th minute (+1). Antonio Raimondo made it 3-0 to Frosinone in the 59th minute, set up by Giorgi Kvernadze. Daniel Bîrligea made it 4-0 to Frosinone in the 72nd minute, set up by Romano Schmid. Joël Monteiro made it 4-1 to Lecce in the 82nd minute, set up by Olaf Gorter. Daniel Bîrligea made it 5-1 to Frosinone in the 90th minute (+4), set up by Giorgi Kvernadze.

It was 2-0 at half-time.

Daniel Bîrligea scored twice.

The referee, R. Abisso, showed 3 yellow cards: 0 to Frosinone and 3 to Lecce.

Frosinone: M. Alvini, 4-2-3-1 · Lecce: E. Di Francesco, 3-4-2-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

Moneyball's Match Board pick, Over 3.25, was right: 5-1 bears it out.

The estimate's most likely result was a Frosinone win at 54%, and that is what happened. Its single most likely score was 2-1 (9%).

The match had far more goals than expected: the estimate was about 3.6 goals and there were 6.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 69%; with 6 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 68%; both did, in line with the estimate.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-29, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 1.42 for Frosinone and 3.44 for Lecce.

Frosinone scored about 3.6 more than their chances were worth: clinical finishing, or a goalkeeper having a bad day.

Lecce left about 2.4 goals' worth of chances on the pitch.

Lecce created the better chances, 3.44 xG to 1.42, and still lost. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.

The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected Frosinone to create more, and Lecce did.

Frosinone had 9 shots on target, Lecce 6.

Frosinone's goalkeeper made 5 saves.

Frosinone had 60% of the ball and turned it into the win.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Frosinone came into it with 11 Serie A matches played, scoring 2.2 and conceding 1.4 a match, with 1.90 expected goals for and 2.11 against, and had won 55% of their matches.

Lecce came into it with 11 Serie A matches played, scoring 1.1 and conceding 2.0 a match, with 1.18 expected goals for and 1.72 against, and had won 27% of their matches.

Frosinone vs Lecce: the match in numbers

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Giorgi Kvernadze (Frosinone), rated 9.3 by Sportmonks, with 2 assists.

Frosinone

• Giorgi Kvernadze 9.3 2 assists
• Daniel Bîrligea 8.4 2 goals
• Giacomo Calò 8.3 1 goal
• Romano Schmid 7.7 1 assist
• Aleksa Terzić 7.7

Lecce

• Joël Monteiro 7.0 1 goal
• Youssef Maleh 6.9
• Amar Fatah 6.8
• Paco Esteban 6.8
• Antonino Gallo 6.7

The lowest-rated starter was Jamil Siebert at 5.4. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

• Frosinone: AC Milan vs Frosinone Sunday 22 November 2026 · Serie A
• Lecce: Lazio vs Lecce Saturday 21 November 2026 · Serie A

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Frosinone vs Lecce

What was the score in Frosinone vs Lecce?

Frosinone 5-1 Lecce (half-time 2-0), Serie A, Thursday 29 October 2026.

Who scored in Frosinone vs Lecce?

Matteo Cichella 25', Giacomo Calò 45+1', Antonio Raimondo 59', Daniel Bîrligea 72', Joël Monteiro 82', Daniel Bîrligea 90+4'.

Did Moneyball predict Frosinone vs Lecce correctly?

Moneyball's Match Board pick, Over 3.25, was right: 5-1 bears it out.

Who was man of the match in Frosinone vs Lecce?

Giorgi Kvernadze, rated 9.3 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Frosinone vs Lecce?

R. Abisso.