Fiorentina 1-3 Como: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Serie A Matchday 7 · Sunday 18 October 2026 · Stadio Artemio Franchi, Firenze · referee M. Di Bello · full time
Full time: Fiorentina 1-3 Como
Fiorentina 1-3 Como: Como took the points in Serie A Matchday 7 on Sunday 18 October 2026 at Stadio Artemio Franchi. The goals: Mattia Liberali 32', Nico Paz 36', Marin Pongracic 42', Anastasios Douvikas 56'. It went against Moneyball's pre-match estimate.
How Como won it
Mattia Liberali put Como ahead in the 32nd minute, set up by Maxence Caqueret. Nico Paz made it 0-2 to Como in the 36th minute, set up by Álex Valle Gómez. Marin Pongracic made it 1-2 to Fiorentina in the 42nd minute. Anastasios Douvikas made it 1-3 to Como in the 56th minute, set up by Nico Paz.
It was 1-2 at half-time.
The referee, M. Di Bello, showed 4 yellow cards: 1 to Fiorentina and 3 to Como.
Fiorentina: P. Vanoli, 4-2-3-1 · Como: F. Fàbregas i Soler, 4-2-3-1.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Fiorentina +0.50, and on 1-3 it was wrong.
The estimate's most likely result was a Como win at 43%, and that is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (12%).
On goals the estimate was close: about 3.0 expected, 4 scored.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 56%; with 4 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 60%; both did, in line with the estimate.
The pre-match consensus had a Como win at 43%, the same lean as Moneyball.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-09, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
On the day the expected goals were 1.80 for Fiorentina and 1.80 for Como.
Como made more of their chances than the xG suggests, by about 1.2 goals.
Fiorentina had 7 shots on target, Como 8.
Fiorentina's goalkeeper made 5 saves.
Como had 53% of the ball and turned it into the win.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Fiorentina came into it with 11 Serie A matches played, scoring 1.6 and conceding 2.3 a match, with 1.72 expected goals for and 1.63 against, and had won 18% of their matches.
Como came into it with 11 Serie A matches played, scoring 1.6 and conceding 0.9 a match, with 1.71 expected goals for and 1.33 against, and had won 64% of their matches.
Fiorentina vs Como: the match in numbers
| Fiorentina | Match statistics | Como |
|---|---|---|
| 47% | Ball possession | 53% |
| 1.80 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.80 |
| 19 | Total shots | 16 |
| 7 | Shots on target | 8 |
| 5 | Big chances | 4 |
| 439 | Total passes | 522 |
| 88% | Pass accuracy | 88% |
| 11 | Corners | 5 |
| 12 | Fouls | 12 |
| 4 | Offsides | 0 |
| 13 | Tackles | 23 |
| 5 | Saves | 5 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Nico Paz (Como), rated 8.3 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal, 1 assist.
Fiorentina
- Nicolò Fagioli 7.4
- Marin Pongracic 7.2 1 goal
- Wilfried Gnonto 7.2
- Marco Brescianini 7.0
- Dodô 6.8
Como
- Nico Paz 8.3 1 goal, 1 assist
- Maxence Caqueret 7.9 1 assist
- Mattia Liberali 7.4 1 goal
- Luis Milla 7.3
- Jacobo Ramón 7.2
The lowest-rated starter was Alieu Njie at 5.7. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Fiorentina: Monza vs Fiorentina Monday 23 November 2026 · Serie A
- Como: Como vs Cagliari Saturday 21 November 2026 · Serie A
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Fiorentina vs Como
What was the score in Fiorentina vs Como?
Fiorentina 1-3 Como (half-time 1-2), Serie A, Sunday 18 October 2026.
Who scored in Fiorentina vs Como?
Mattia Liberali 32', Nico Paz 36', Marin Pongracic 42', Anastasios Douvikas 56'.
Did Moneyball predict Fiorentina vs Como correctly?
The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Fiorentina +0.50, and on 1-3 it was wrong.
Who was man of the match in Fiorentina vs Como?
Nico Paz, rated 8.3 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Fiorentina vs Como?
M. Di Bello.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.