MoneyballDixon-Coles · xG fusion
Back to Moneyball

Fenerbahçe 2-2 Slavia Praha: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

Full time: Fenerbahçe 2-2 Slavia Praha

Fenerbahçe and Slavia Praha drew 2-2 in Champions League Matchday 3 on Tuesday 20 October 2026 at Şükrü Saracoğlu Stadium. The goals: Oğuz Aydın 4', Mason Greenwood 11', Lukas Provod 15', Pavel Kačor 90'. Moneyball's pre-match estimate had the result right.

How the match unfolded

Oğuz Aydın put Fenerbahçe ahead in the 4th minute, set up by Milan Škriniar. Mason Greenwood made it 2-0 to Fenerbahçe in the 11th minute, set up by Nélson Semedo. Lukas Provod made it 2-1 to Slavia Praha in the 15th minute. Slavia Praha levelled at 2-2 in the 90th minute through Pavel Kačor, set up by Emmanuel Ayaosi. It came with the clock nearly run down, and it rescued a point.

Fenerbahçe were two goals up and could not hold on: Slavia Praha came back from two down for a draw.

It was 2-1 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.

The referee, R. De Burgos Bengoetxea, showed 5 yellow cards: 3 to Fenerbahçe and 2 to Slavia Praha.

Fenerbahçe: İ. Kartal, 4-2-3-1 · Slavia Praha: J. Trpišovský, 3-4-2-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

A correct call: the Match Board's pick was Slavia Praha +0.75, and 2-2 bears it out.

The estimate's most likely result was a Fenerbahçe win at 54%; a draw, at 23%, is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (10%).

On goals the estimate was close: about 3.2 expected, 4 scored.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 61%; with 4 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 60%; both did, in line with the estimate.

The pre-match consensus had a Fenerbahçe win at 53%, the same lean as Moneyball.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-20, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

Fenerbahçe had 4 shots on target, Slavia Praha 4.

Slavia Praha had 51% of the ball.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Fenerbahçe came into it with 4 Champions League matches played, scoring 1.5 and conceding 2.8 a match, with 1.66 expected goals for and – against, and had won 25% of their matches.

Slavia Praha came into it with 4 Champions League matches played, scoring 1.3 and conceding 2.3 a match, with 2.03 expected goals for and – against, and had won 0% of their matches.

Fenerbahçe vs Slavia Praha: the match in numbers

FenerbahçeMatch statisticsSlavia Praha
49%Ball possession51%
15Total shots15
4Shots on target4
2Big chances3
415Total passes425
82%Pass accuracy83%
3Corners5
12Fouls15
0Offsides2
24Tackles16
2Saves2
3Yellow cards1

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Mason Greenwood (Fenerbahçe), rated 7.6 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal.

Fenerbahçe

Slavia Praha

The lowest-rated starter was Nathan Aké at 6.2. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Fenerbahçe vs Slavia Praha

What was the score in Fenerbahçe vs Slavia Praha?

Fenerbahçe 2-2 Slavia Praha (half-time 2-1), Champions League, Tuesday 20 October 2026.

Who scored in Fenerbahçe vs Slavia Praha?

Oğuz Aydın 4', Mason Greenwood 11', Lukas Provod 15', Pavel Kačor 90'.

Did Moneyball predict Fenerbahçe vs Slavia Praha correctly?

A correct call: the Match Board's pick was Slavia Praha +0.75, and 2-2 bears it out.

Who was man of the match in Fenerbahçe vs Slavia Praha?

Mason Greenwood, rated 7.6 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Fenerbahçe vs Slavia Praha?

R. De Burgos Bengoetxea.

Every match, before and after

Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.

Open Moneyball Match Live All match reports

Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.