MoneyballDixon-Coles · xG fusion
Back to Moneyball

FC København 2-1 FC Iberia 1999: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

Full time: FC København 2-1 FC Iberia 1999

FC København beat FC Iberia 1999 2-1 in Europa Conference League Matchday 3 on Thursday 5 November 2026 at Parken. The goals: Mohamed Elyounoussi 19', Amiran Dzagania 30'. It went against Moneyball's pre-match estimate.

How FC København won it

The opening goal came in the 19th minute: Mohamed Elyounoussi from the penalty spot for FC København. An own goal by Vahid Selimovic made it 2-0 to FC København in the 22nd minute. Amiran Dzagania made it 2-1 to FC Iberia 1999 in the 30th minute.

It was 2-1 at half-time, and nothing changed after the break.

The referee, R. Hennessy, showed 7 yellow cards: 3 to FC København and 4 to FC Iberia 1999.

FC København: B. Svensson, 4-1-3-2 · FC Iberia 1999: L. Korghalidze, 4-3-3.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Over 3.25. On 2-1 it was half wrong.

The estimate's most likely result was a FC København win at 79%, and that is what happened. Its single most likely score was 2-0 (11%).

On goals the estimate was close: about 3.6 expected, 3 scored.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 68%; with 3 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 51%; both did, in line with the estimate.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-05, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

FC København had 4 shots on target, FC Iberia 1999 2.

FC København had 53% of the ball and turned it into the win.

Where the two sides stood before this match

FC København came into it with 3 Europa Conference League matches played, scoring 2.3 and conceding 1.0 a match, with 1.92 expected goals for and – against, and had won 67% of their matches.

FC Iberia 1999 came into it with 3 Europa Conference League matches played, scoring 0.7 and conceding 1.7 a match, with 0.53 expected goals for and – against, and had won 0% of their matches.

FC København vs FC Iberia 1999: the match in numbers

FC KøbenhavnMatch statisticsFC Iberia 1999
53%Ball possession47%
12Total shots5
4Shots on target2
5Big chances1
455Total passes409
86%Pass accuracy88%
3Corners2
15Fouls17
0Offsides3
13Tackles11
1Saves3
3Yellow cards5

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Mohamed Elyounoussi (FC København), rated 7.5 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal.

FC København

FC Iberia 1999

The lowest-rated starter was Asger Sörensen at 6.1. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about FC København vs FC Iberia 1999

What was the score in FC København vs FC Iberia 1999?

FC København 2-1 FC Iberia 1999 (half-time 2-1), Europa Conference League, Thursday 5 November 2026.

Who scored in FC København vs FC Iberia 1999?

Mohamed Elyounoussi 19', Amiran Dzagania 30'.

Did Moneyball predict FC København vs FC Iberia 1999 correctly?

Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Over 3.25. On 2-1 it was half wrong.

Who was man of the match in FC København vs FC Iberia 1999?

Mohamed Elyounoussi, rated 7.5 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed FC København vs FC Iberia 1999?

R. Hennessy.

Every match, before and after

Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.

Open Moneyball Match Live All match reports

Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.