FC Barcelona 1-2 Real Madrid: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
La Liga Matchday 10 · Sunday 25 October 2026 · Spotify Camp Nou, Barcelona · referee J. Martínez Munuera · full time
Full time: FC Barcelona 1-2 Real Madrid
Real Madrid won 2-1 away at FC Barcelona in La Liga Matchday 10 on Sunday 25 October 2026. The goals: Kylian Mbappé 41', Raphinha 61', Kylian Mbappé 87'. Moneyball's pre-match estimate had the result right.
How Real Madrid won it
The opening goal came in the 41st minute: Kylian Mbappé for Real Madrid. FC Barcelona levelled at 1-1 in the 61st minute through Raphinha, set up by Pedri. Kylian Mbappé made it 1-2 to Real Madrid in the 87th minute, set up by Eduardo Camavinga.
It was 0-1 at half-time.
Kylian Mbappé scored twice.
The referee, J. Martínez Munuera, showed 6 yellow cards: 3 to FC Barcelona and 3 to Real Madrid.
FC Barcelona: H. Flick, 4-3-3 · Real Madrid: José Mourinho, 4-2-3-1.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
A correct call: the Match Board's pick was Real Madrid +1.00, and 1-2 bears it out.
The estimate's most likely result was a FC Barcelona win at 59%; a Real Madrid win, at 23%, is what happened. Its single most likely score was 2-1 (7%).
The goals dried up: the estimate expected about 4.6 and the match produced three.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 79%; with 3 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 78%; both did, in line with the estimate.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-25, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
On the day the expected goals were 1.55 for FC Barcelona and 1.47 for Real Madrid.
FC Barcelona had 6 shots on target, Real Madrid 5.
Real Madrid's goalkeeper made 5 saves.
FC Barcelona had 62% of the ball, but Real Madrid took the points.
Where the two sides stood before this match
FC Barcelona came into it with 12 La Liga matches played, scoring 4.0 and conceding 1.1 a match, with 2.97 expected goals for and 0.97 against, and had won 92% of their matches.
Real Madrid came into it with 12 La Liga matches played, scoring 2.6 and conceding 0.8 a match, with 2.18 expected goals for and 1.15 against, and had won 83% of their matches.
FC Barcelona vs Real Madrid: the match in numbers
| FC Barcelona | Match statistics | Real Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| 62% | Ball possession | 38% |
| 1.55 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.47 |
| 18 | Total shots | 10 |
| 6 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 2 | Big chances | 4 |
| 639 | Total passes | 380 |
| 89% | Pass accuracy | 84% |
| 6 | Corners | 6 |
| 15 | Fouls | 11 |
| 3 | Offsides | 3 |
| 16 | Tackles | 23 |
| 3 | Saves | 5 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid), rated 8.2 by Sportmonks, with 2 goals.
FC Barcelona
- Anthony Gordon 7.8
- Raphinha 7.6 1 goal
- João Cancelo 7.5
- Fermín López 6.9
- Rodri 6.8
Real Madrid
- Kylian Mbappé 8.2 2 goals
- Arda Güler 7.6
- Jude Bellingham 7.5
- Andriy Lunin 7.5
- Dean Huijsen 7.2
The lowest-rated starter was Bernardo Silva at 6.1. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- FC Barcelona: FC Barcelona vs Villarreal Sunday 22 November 2026 · La Liga
- Real Madrid: Real Madrid vs Celta de Vigo Saturday 21 November 2026 · La Liga
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about FC Barcelona vs Real Madrid
What was the score in FC Barcelona vs Real Madrid?
FC Barcelona 1-2 Real Madrid (half-time 0-1), La Liga, Sunday 25 October 2026.
Who scored in FC Barcelona vs Real Madrid?
Kylian Mbappé 41', Raphinha 61', Kylian Mbappé 87'.
Did Moneyball predict FC Barcelona vs Real Madrid correctly?
A correct call: the Match Board's pick was Real Madrid +1.00, and 1-2 bears it out.
Who was man of the match in FC Barcelona vs Real Madrid?
Kylian Mbappé, rated 8.2 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed FC Barcelona vs Real Madrid?
J. Martínez Munuera.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.