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Fakel 1-2 Dinamo Moskva: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

Full time: Fakel 1-2 Dinamo Moskva

Dinamo Moskva won 2-1 away at Fakel in Russian Premier League Matchday 14 on Saturday 7 November 2026. The goals: Daniil Fomin 3', Vyacheslav Yakimov 12', K. Tyukavin 90+1'. Moneyball's pre-match estimate had this exact score as the most likely.

How Dinamo Moskva won it

The opening goal came in the 3rd minute: Daniil Fomin for Dinamo Moskva, set up by Bitello. Fakel levelled at 1-1 in the 12th minute through Vyacheslav Yakimov. K. Tyukavin made it 1-2 to Dinamo Moskva in the 90th minute (+1), set up by Maksim Osipenko.

It was 1-1 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.

Arthur Gomes of Dinamo Moskva was sent off in the 42nd minute for a second yellow card. Darko Todorovic of Fakel was sent off in the 72nd minute for a second yellow card. The referee, M. Zaika, showed 5 yellow cards: 3 to Fakel and 2 to Dinamo Moskva.

Fakel: K. Bidzhiyev, 5-3-2 · Dinamo Moskva: S. Schwarz, 4-2-3-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

Moneyball called this one exactly. The most likely score before kick-off was 1-2, at 10%, and 1-2 is how it finished.

On goals the estimate was close: about 2.6 expected, 3 scored.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 48%; with 3 goals the over came in, against the way the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 47%; both did, against the estimate.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-07, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 0.96 for Fakel and 1.36 for Dinamo Moskva.

Fakel had 5 shots on target, Dinamo Moskva 3.

Dinamo Moskva had 65% of the ball and turned it into the win.

A red card changed the shape of the match, and no pre-match model can see one coming.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Fakel came into it with 14 Russian Premier League matches played, scoring 0.6 and conceding 1.6 a match, with 1.04 expected goals for and 1.60 against, and had won 7% of their matches.

Dinamo Moskva came into it with 14 Russian Premier League matches played, scoring 1.6 and conceding 0.9 a match, with 1.90 expected goals for and 0.98 against, and had won 71% of their matches.

Fakel vs Dinamo Moskva: the match in numbers

FakelMatch statisticsDinamo Moskva
35%Ball possession65%
0.96Expected goals (xG)1.36
13Total shots13
5Shots on target3
2Big chances1
283Total passes542
68%Pass accuracy83%
5Corners3
17Fouls11
6Offsides0
17Tackles18
1Saves4
4Yellow cards3
1Red cards1

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Bitello (Dinamo Moskva), rated 8.2 by Sportmonks, with 1 assist.

Fakel

Dinamo Moskva

The lowest-rated starter was Arthur Gomes at 6.0. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Fakel vs Dinamo Moskva

What was the score in Fakel vs Dinamo Moskva?

Fakel 1-2 Dinamo Moskva (half-time 1-1), Russian Premier League, Saturday 7 November 2026.

Who scored in Fakel vs Dinamo Moskva?

Daniil Fomin 3', Vyacheslav Yakimov 12', K. Tyukavin 90+1'.

Did Moneyball predict Fakel vs Dinamo Moskva correctly?

Moneyball called this one exactly. The most likely score before kick-off was 1-2, at 10%, and 1-2 is how it finished.

Who was man of the match in Fakel vs Dinamo Moskva?

Bitello, rated 8.2 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Fakel vs Dinamo Moskva?

M. Zaika.

Every match, before and after

Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.

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Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.