Excelsior 0-9 FC Twente: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Eredivisie Matchday 11 · Sunday 1 November 2026 · Van Donge & De Roo Stadion, Rotterdam · referee E. Blank · full time
Full time: Excelsior 0-9 FC Twente
FC Twente won 9-0 away at Excelsior in Eredivisie Matchday 11 on Sunday 1 November 2026. The goals: Wout Weghorst 12', Wout Weghorst 32', Wout Weghorst 33', Thomas van den Belt 39', Daan Rots 45+1', Jordy Bawuah 49', Wout Weghorst 62', Ramiz Zerrouki 71', Daan Rots 82'. It went against Moneyball's pre-match estimate.
How FC Twente won it
Wout Weghorst put FC Twente ahead in the 12th minute, set up by Sondre Ørjasæter. Wout Weghorst made it 0-2 to FC Twente in the 32nd minute, set up by Sondre Ørjasæter. Wout Weghorst made it 0-3 to FC Twente in the 33rd minute, set up by Sondre Ørjasæter. Thomas van den Belt made it 0-4 to FC Twente in the 39th minute. Daan Rots made it 0-5 to FC Twente in the 45th minute (+1), set up by Sondre Ørjasæter. Jordy Bawuah made it 0-6 to FC Twente in the 49th minute, set up by Sondre Ørjasæter. Wout Weghorst from the penalty spot made it 0-7 to FC Twente in the 62nd minute. Ramiz Zerrouki from the penalty spot made it 0-8 to FC Twente in the 71st minute. Daan Rots made it 0-9 to FC Twente in the 82nd minute, set up by Thomas van den Belt.
It was 0-5 at half-time.
Wout Weghorst scored 4 goals.
Daan Rots scored twice.
Nesto Groen of Excelsior was sent off in the 5th minute. The referee, E. Blank, showed 2 yellow cards: 1 to Excelsior and 1 to FC Twente.
Excelsior: R. den Uil, 4-3-3 · FC Twente: J. van den Brom, 4-2-3-1.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Under 3.25, and on 0-9 it was wrong.
The estimate's most likely result was a FC Twente win at 64%, and that is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-2 (10%).
The match had far more goals than expected: the estimate was about 3.4 goals and there were 9.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 66%; with 9 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 61%; they did not both score, against the estimate.
The pre-match consensus had a FC Twente win at 58%, the same lean as Moneyball.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-01, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
On the day the expected goals were 5.55 for Excelsior and 0.00 for FC Twente.
Excelsior scored about 5.6 fewer than their chances were worth: poor finishing, or a goalkeeper at his best.
FC Twente made more of their chances than the xG suggests, by about 9.0 goals.
Excelsior created the better chances, 5.55 xG to 0.00, and still lost. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.
The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected FC Twente to create more, and Excelsior did.
Excelsior had 0 shots on target, FC Twente 15.
Excelsior's goalkeeper made 6 saves.
FC Twente had 80% of the ball and turned it into the win.
A red card changed the shape of the match, and no pre-match model can see one coming.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Excelsior came into it with 12 Eredivisie matches played, scoring 1.3 and conceding 2.4 a match, with 1.21 expected goals for and 1.92 against, and had won 25% of their matches.
FC Twente came into it with 12 Eredivisie matches played, scoring 2.5 and conceding 1.0 a match, with 2.61 expected goals for and 0.78 against, and had won 58% of their matches.
Excelsior vs FC Twente: the match in numbers
| Excelsior | Match statistics | FC Twente |
|---|---|---|
| 20% | Ball possession | 80% |
| 5.55 | Expected goals (xG) | 0.00 |
| 0 | Total shots | 28 |
| 0 | Shots on target | 15 |
| 0 | Big chances | 12 |
| 222 | Total passes | 856 |
| 68% | Pass accuracy | 90% |
| 0 | Corners | 8 |
| 7 | Fouls | 6 |
| 1 | Offsides | 4 |
| 12 | Tackles | 12 |
| 6 | Saves | 0 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Wout Weghorst (FC Twente), rated 9.9 by Sportmonks, with 4 goals.
Excelsior
- Valentin Sulzbacher 6.7
- Aymen Sliti 6.5
- Irakli Yegoian 6.4
- Eric da Silva Moreira 6.3
- Daniel van Vianen 6.3
FC Twente
- Wout Weghorst 9.9 4 goals
- Daan Rots 8.9 2 goals
- Sondre Ørjasæter 8.9 5 assists
- Thomas van den Belt 8.7 1 goal, 1 assist
- Aske Adelgaard 8.3
The lowest-rated starter was Nesto Groen at 5.1. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Excelsior: Feyenoord vs Excelsior Saturday 21 November 2026 · Eredivisie
- FC Twente: FC Twente vs Willem II Sunday 22 November 2026 · Eredivisie
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Excelsior vs FC Twente
What was the score in Excelsior vs FC Twente?
Excelsior 0-9 FC Twente (half-time 0-5), Eredivisie, Sunday 1 November 2026.
Who scored in Excelsior vs FC Twente?
Wout Weghorst 12', Wout Weghorst 32', Wout Weghorst 33', Thomas van den Belt 39', Daan Rots 45+1', Jordy Bawuah 49', Wout Weghorst 62', Ramiz Zerrouki 71', Daan Rots 82'.
Did Moneyball predict Excelsior vs FC Twente correctly?
The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Under 3.25, and on 0-9 it was wrong.
Who was man of the match in Excelsior vs FC Twente?
Wout Weghorst, rated 9.9 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Excelsior vs FC Twente?
E. Blank.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.