Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 1-2 Gimnasia La Plata: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

How Gimnasia La Plata won it

Marcelo Torres put Gimnasia La Plata ahead in the 24th minute, set up by Nacho Fernández. Nacho Fernández made it 0-2 to Gimnasia La Plata in the 40th minute, set up by Agustín Auzmendi. Gabriel Alanís made it 1-2 to Estudiantes de Río Cuarto in the 54th minute, set up by Ibrahim Hesar.

It was 0-2 at half-time.

Alexis Steimbach of Gimnasia La Plata was sent off in the 57th minute for a second yellow card. Juan Antonini of Estudiantes de Río Cuarto was sent off in the 86th minute. The referee, J. Loustau, showed 6 yellow cards: 3 to Estudiantes de Río Cuarto and 3 to Gimnasia La Plata.

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto: R. Forestello, 5-3-2 · Gimnasia La Plata: G. Pereyra, 4-3-1-2.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

The prediction got the result right. Before kick-off Moneyball made a Gimnasia La Plata win the most likely outcome at 52%, and that is what happened, though the most likely score was 0-2 rather than 1-2.

On goals the estimate was close: about 2.4 expected, 3 scored.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 42%; with 3 goals the over came in, against the way the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 45%; both did, against the estimate.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-30, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 0.73 for Estudiantes de Río Cuarto and 1.26 for Gimnasia La Plata.

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto had 2 shots on target, Gimnasia La Plata 3.

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto had 54% of the ball, but Gimnasia La Plata took the points.

A red card changed the shape of the match, and no pre-match model can see one coming.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto came into it with 32 Liga Profesional Argentina matches played, scoring 0.5 and conceding 1.5 a match, with 0.84 expected goals for and 1.30 against, and had won 9% of their matches.

Gimnasia La Plata came into it with 34 Liga Profesional Argentina matches played, scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.2 a match, with 1.32 expected goals for and 1.17 against, and had won 53% of their matches.

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto vs Gimnasia La Plata: the match in numbers

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Nacho Fernández (Gimnasia La Plata), rated 9.2 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal, 1 assist.

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto

• Martín Garnerone 7.5
• Alejandro Cabrera 7.3
• Sergio Ojeda 7.2
• Ibrahim Hesar 7.2 1 assist
• Gabriel Alanís 7.1 1 goal

Gimnasia La Plata

• Nacho Fernández 9.2 1 goal, 1 assist
• Enzo Martínez 7.1
• Ignacio Miramón 7.1
• Mateo Seoane 6.9
• Marcelo Torres 6.9 1 goal

The lowest-rated starter was Alexis Steimbach at 5.4. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

• Gimnasia La Plata: Gimnasia La Plata vs Newell's Old Boys Monday 23 November 2026 · Liga Profesional Argentina

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Estudiantes de Río Cuarto vs Gimnasia La Plata

What was the score in Estudiantes de Río Cuarto vs Gimnasia La Plata?

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 1-2 Gimnasia La Plata (half-time 0-2), Liga Profesional Argentina, Friday 30 October 2026.

Who scored in Estudiantes de Río Cuarto vs Gimnasia La Plata?

Marcelo Torres 24', Nacho Fernández 40', Gabriel Alanís 54'.

Did Moneyball predict Estudiantes de Río Cuarto vs Gimnasia La Plata correctly?

The prediction got the result right. Before kick-off Moneyball made a Gimnasia La Plata win the most likely outcome at 52%, and that is what happened, though the most likely score was 0-2 rather than 1-2.

Who was man of the match in Estudiantes de Río Cuarto vs Gimnasia La Plata?

Nacho Fernández, rated 9.2 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Estudiantes de Río Cuarto vs Gimnasia La Plata?

J. Loustau.