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Estrela Amadora 2-3 Benfica: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

Full time: Estrela Amadora 2-3 Benfica

Benfica won 3-2 away at Estrela Amadora in Liga Portugal Matchday 11 on Sunday 8 November 2026. The goals: Gianluca Prestianni 26', Lovro Zvonarek 48', Leandro Antonetti 76', Vangelis Pavlidis 90+4'. Moneyball's pre-match estimate had the result right.

How Benfica won it

Gianluca Prestianni put Benfica ahead in the 26th minute, set up by Claudio Echeverri. Estrela Amadora levelled at 1-1 in the 48th minute through Lovro Zvonarek, set up by Rafa Soares. An own goal by Bernardo Schappo made it 1-2 to Benfica in the 68th minute. Estrela Amadora levelled at 2-2 in the 76th minute through Leandro Antonetti, set up by Joan Jordán. Vangelis Pavlidis made it 2-3 to Benfica in the 90th minute (+4), set up by Andreas Schjelderup.

It was 0-1 at half-time.

The referee, A. Carvalho Nobre, showed 4 yellow cards: 3 to Estrela Amadora and 1 to Benfica.

Estrela Amadora: P. Marques da Costa Filipe, 4-1-4-1 · Benfica: M. Saraiva Da Silva, 4-2-3-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

A correct call on the result: 61% for a Benfica win before the match. The scoreline, 2-3, was not the estimate's first choice (1-2).

The match had far more goals than expected: the estimate was about 3.4 goals and there were 5.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 65%; with 5 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 61%; both did, in line with the estimate.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-08, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 1.03 for Estrela Amadora and 1.46 for Benfica.

Benfica made more of their chances than the xG suggests, by about 1.5 goals.

Estrela Amadora had 2 shots on target, Benfica 5.

Benfica had 62% of the ball and turned it into the win.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Estrela Amadora came into it with 11 Liga Portugal matches played, scoring 1.6 and conceding 2.0 a match, with 1.47 expected goals for and 1.24 against, and had won 18% of their matches.

Benfica came into it with 11 Liga Portugal matches played, scoring 2.7 and conceding 0.9 a match, with 2.14 expected goals for and 0.87 against, and had won 82% of their matches.

Estrela Amadora vs Benfica: the match in numbers

Estrela AmadoraMatch statisticsBenfica
38%Ball possession62%
1.03Expected goals (xG)1.46
7Total shots15
2Shots on target5
3Big chances3
337Total passes561
81%Pass accuracy87%
1Corners10
15Fouls12
0Offsides2
14Tackles13
3Saves0
2Yellow cards0

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Gianluca Prestianni (Benfica), rated 7.9 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal.

Estrela Amadora

Benfica

The lowest-rated starter was Samuel Soares at 5.5. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Estrela Amadora vs Benfica

What was the score in Estrela Amadora vs Benfica?

Estrela Amadora 2-3 Benfica (half-time 0-1), Liga Portugal, Sunday 8 November 2026.

Who scored in Estrela Amadora vs Benfica?

Gianluca Prestianni 26', Lovro Zvonarek 48', Leandro Antonetti 76', Vangelis Pavlidis 90+4'.

Did Moneyball predict Estrela Amadora vs Benfica correctly?

A correct call on the result: 61% for a Benfica win before the match. The scoreline, 2-3, was not the estimate's first choice (1-2).

Who was man of the match in Estrela Amadora vs Benfica?

Gianluca Prestianni, rated 7.9 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Estrela Amadora vs Benfica?

A. Carvalho Nobre.

Every match, before and after

Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.

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Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.