Elche 0-1 Valencia: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

How Valencia won it

Umar Sadiq put Valencia ahead in the 69th minute, set up by Arnaut Danjuma.

It was 0-0 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.

The referee, L. Bestard Servera, showed 5 yellow cards: 3 to Elche and 2 to Valencia.

Elche: M. Anselmi, 4-3-3 · Valencia: J. Aguirre Onaindía, 4-4-2.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

The prediction was right. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Under 2.50, and on 0-1 it was right.

The estimate's most likely result was an Elche win at 39%; a Valencia win, at 32%, is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (14%).

The goals dried up: the estimate expected about 2.4 and the match produced one.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 43%; with 1 goal the under came in, as the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 50%; they did not both score, in line with the estimate.

The pre-match consensus had an Elche win at 39%, the same lean as Moneyball.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-01, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 1.02 for Elche and 1.33 for Valencia.

Elche scored about 1.0 fewer than their chances were worth: poor finishing, or a goalkeeper at his best.

Elche had 3 shots on target, Valencia 3.

Elche had 69% of the ball, but Valencia took the points.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Elche came into it with 12 La Liga matches played, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.7 a match, with 1.32 expected goals for and 1.53 against, and had won 17% of their matches.

Valencia came into it with 12 La Liga matches played, scoring 0.7 and conceding 1.7 a match, with 0.97 expected goals for and 1.51 against, and had won 17% of their matches.

Elche vs Valencia: the match in numbers

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Gonzalo Villar (Elche), rated 7.7 by Sportmonks.

Elche

• Gonzalo Villar 7.7
• Víctor Chust 7.5
• Matías Dituro 7.2
• Federico Redondo 7.2
• Roy Revivo 7.0

Valencia

• César Tárrega 7.6
• Stole Dimitrievski 7.3
• Guido Rodríguez 7.3
• Pepelu 7.2
• Umar Sadiq 7.0 1 goal

The lowest-rated starter was Aaron Ndive Mayol de la Cueva at 6.5. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

• Elche: Levante vs Elche Monday 23 November 2026 · La Liga
• Valencia: Rayo Vallecano vs Valencia Saturday 21 November 2026 · La Liga

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Elche vs Valencia

What was the score in Elche vs Valencia?

Elche 0-1 Valencia (half-time 0-0), La Liga, Sunday 1 November 2026.

Who scored in Elche vs Valencia?

Umar Sadiq 69'.

Did Moneyball predict Elche vs Valencia correctly?

The prediction was right. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Under 2.50, and on 0-1 it was right.

Who was man of the match in Elche vs Valencia?

Gonzalo Villar, rated 7.7 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Elche vs Valencia?

L. Bestard Servera.