Eintracht Frankfurt 3-1 Hamburger SV: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Bundesliga Matchday 8 · Sunday 1 November 2026 · Deutsche Bank Park, Frankfurt am Main · referee F. Exner · full time
Full time: Eintracht Frankfurt 3-1 Hamburger SV
Eintracht Frankfurt won 3-1 at home to Hamburger SV in Bundesliga Matchday 8 on Sunday 1 November 2026. The goals: Terem Moffi 14', Raphael Onyedika 47', Younes Ebnoutalib 69'. Moneyball's pre-match estimate had the result right.
How Eintracht Frankfurt won it
The opening goal came in the 10th minute: an own goal by Warmed Omari for Eintracht Frankfurt. Hamburger SV levelled at 1-1 in the 14th minute through Terem Moffi, set up by Albert Grønbæk. Raphael Onyedika made it 2-1 to Eintracht Frankfurt in the 47th minute, set up by Lilian Brassier. Younes Ebnoutalib made it 3-1 to Eintracht Frankfurt in the 69th minute, set up by Can Uzun.
It was 1-1 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.
The referee, F. Exner, showed 7 yellow cards: 3 to Eintracht Frankfurt and 4 to Hamburger SV.
Eintracht Frankfurt: A. Hütter, 4-2-3-1 · Hamburger SV: M. Polzin, 3-4-2-1.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
A correct call: the Match Board's pick was Eintracht Frankfurt Win, and 3-1 bears it out.
The estimate's most likely result was an Eintracht Frankfurt win at 57%, and that is what happened. Its single most likely score was 2-1 (10%).
On goals the estimate was close: about 3.4 expected, 4 scored.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 66%; with 4 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 64%; both did, in line with the estimate.
The pre-match consensus had an Eintracht Frankfurt win at 61%, the same lean as Moneyball.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-01, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
On the day the expected goals were 1.44 for Eintracht Frankfurt and 2.03 for Hamburger SV.
Eintracht Frankfurt scored about 1.6 more than their chances were worth: clinical finishing, or a goalkeeper having a bad day.
Hamburger SV left about 1.0 goals' worth of chances on the pitch.
The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected Eintracht Frankfurt to create more, and Hamburger SV did.
Eintracht Frankfurt had 10 shots on target, Hamburger SV 3.
Hamburger SV's goalkeeper made 8 saves.
Eintracht Frankfurt had 52% of the ball and turned it into the win.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Eintracht Frankfurt came into it with 9 Bundesliga matches played, scoring 1.7 and conceding 2.2 a match, with 1.67 expected goals for and 2.12 against, and had won 33% of their matches.
Hamburger SV came into it with 9 Bundesliga matches played, scoring 1.1 and conceding 2.2 a match, with 1.06 expected goals for and 1.94 against, and had won 44% of their matches.
Eintracht Frankfurt vs Hamburger SV: the match in numbers
| Eintracht Frankfurt | Match statistics | Hamburger SV |
|---|---|---|
| 52% | Ball possession | 48% |
| 1.44 | Expected goals (xG) | 2.03 |
| 15 | Total shots | 12 |
| 10 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 3 | Big chances | 2 |
| 434 | Total passes | 391 |
| 79% | Pass accuracy | 75% |
| 6 | Corners | 6 |
| 10 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Offsides | 3 |
| 20 | Tackles | 29 |
| 3 | Saves | 8 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Daniel Heuer Fernandes (Hamburger SV), rated 8.5 by Sportmonks.
Eintracht Frankfurt
- Farès Chaïbi 7.9
- Raphael Onyedika 7.6 1 goal
- Robin Koch 7.1
- Ritsu Doan 7.1
- Noël Aséko 7.1
Hamburger SV
- Daniel Heuer Fernandes 8.5
- Alexander Røssing-Lelesiit 7.4
- Terem Moffi 7.2 1 goal
- Albert Grønbæk 7.0 1 assist
- Martin Adeline 6.9
The lowest-rated starter was Warmed Omari at 6.2. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Eintracht Frankfurt: Eintracht Frankfurt vs TSG Hoffenheim Saturday 21 November 2026 · Bundesliga
- Hamburger SV: Werder Bremen vs Hamburger SV Sunday 22 November 2026 · Bundesliga
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Eintracht Frankfurt vs Hamburger SV
What was the score in Eintracht Frankfurt vs Hamburger SV?
Eintracht Frankfurt 3-1 Hamburger SV (half-time 1-1), Bundesliga, Sunday 1 November 2026.
Who scored in Eintracht Frankfurt vs Hamburger SV?
Terem Moffi 14', Raphael Onyedika 47', Younes Ebnoutalib 69'.
Did Moneyball predict Eintracht Frankfurt vs Hamburger SV correctly?
A correct call: the Match Board's pick was Eintracht Frankfurt Win, and 3-1 bears it out.
Who was man of the match in Eintracht Frankfurt vs Hamburger SV?
Daniel Heuer Fernandes, rated 8.5 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Eintracht Frankfurt vs Hamburger SV?
F. Exner.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.