Egnatia Rrogozhinë 1-1 FC Midtjylland: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Europa Conference League Matchday 1 · Thursday 15 October 2026 · Arena Kombëtare · referee S. Ebner · full time
Full time: Egnatia Rrogozhinë 1-1 FC Midtjylland
Egnatia Rrogozhinë and FC Midtjylland drew 1-1 in Europa Conference League Matchday 1 on Thursday 15 October 2026 at Arena Kombëtare. The goals: Ildi Gruda 26', Gue-sung Cho 33'. Moneyball's pre-match estimate had this exact score as the most likely.
How the match unfolded
The opening goal came in the 26th minute: Ildi Gruda for Egnatia Rrogozhinë, set up by Altin Kryeziu. FC Midtjylland levelled at 1-1 in the 33rd minute through Gue-sung Cho, set up by Rasmus Nissen Kristensen.
It was 1-1 at half-time, and nothing changed after the break.
The referee, S. Ebner, showed 1 yellow card: 1 to Egnatia Rrogozhinë and 0 to FC Midtjylland.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë: N. Dede, 4-3-3 · FC Midtjylland: M. Tullberg, 3-5-2.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
The pre-match estimate had 1-1 as the single most likely score (9%). That is the score it ended.
The goals dried up: the estimate expected about 3.8 and the match produced two.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 73%; with 2 goals the under came in, against the way the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 73%; both did, in line with the estimate.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-09, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
Egnatia Rrogozhinë had 5 shots on target, FC Midtjylland 5.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë had 52% of the ball.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Egnatia Rrogozhinë came into it with 3 Europa Conference League matches played, scoring 0.7 and conceding 1.3 a match, with 0.58 expected goals for and – against, and had won 0% of their matches.
FC Midtjylland came into it with 3 Europa Conference League matches played, scoring 0.7 and conceding 2.7 a match, with 1.78 expected goals for and – against, and had won 0% of their matches.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs FC Midtjylland: the match in numbers
| Egnatia Rrogozhinë | Match statistics | FC Midtjylland |
|---|---|---|
| 52% | Ball possession | 48% |
| 12 | Total shots | 13 |
| 5 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 2 | Big chances | 4 |
| 397 | Total passes | 341 |
| 82% | Pass accuracy | 79% |
| 2 | Corners | 6 |
| 12 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Offsides | 3 |
| 23 | Tackles | 12 |
| 3 | Saves | 4 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 0 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Eneo Bitri (Egnatia Rrogozhinë), rated 7.7 by Sportmonks.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
- Eneo Bitri 7.7
- Ildi Gruda 7.5 1 goal
- Altin Kryeziu 7.4 1 assist
- Alessandro Albanese 7.3
- Andrey Yago 7.2
FC Midtjylland
- Gue-sung Cho 7.3 1 goal
- Rasmus Nissen Kristensen 7.2 1 assist
- Philip Billing 7.2
- Nordin Bakker 7.1
- Ousmane Diao 6.9
The lowest-rated starter was Guillem Jaime at 6.4. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Egnatia Rrogozhinë: Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Lincoln Red Imps Thursday 26 November 2026 · Europa Conference League
- FC Midtjylland: Pafos FC vs FC Midtjylland Thursday 26 November 2026 · Europa Conference League
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs FC Midtjylland
What was the score in Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs FC Midtjylland?
Egnatia Rrogozhinë 1-1 FC Midtjylland (half-time 1-1), Europa Conference League, Thursday 15 October 2026.
Who scored in Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs FC Midtjylland?
Ildi Gruda 26', Gue-sung Cho 33'.
Did Moneyball predict Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs FC Midtjylland correctly?
The pre-match estimate had 1-1 as the single most likely score (9%). That is the score it ended.
Who was man of the match in Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs FC Midtjylland?
Eneo Bitri, rated 7.7 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs FC Midtjylland?
S. Ebner.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.