Dinamo Zagreb 1-0 Anderlecht: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

How Dinamo Zagreb won it

The opening goal came in the 90th minute (+6): Dion Beljo from the penalty spot for Dinamo Zagreb. It came late, and it settled the match.

It was 0-0 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.

The referee, O. Grinfeeld, showed 4 yellow cards: 2 to Dinamo Zagreb and 2 to Anderlecht.

Dinamo Zagreb: M. Kovačević, 4-1-4-1 · Anderlecht: V. Clara Santos Mota Fernandes, 4-2-3-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

This one went against the numbers. The estimate made an Anderlecht win the likeliest outcome (39%), and a Dinamo Zagreb win, at 36%, is what happened.

The goals dried up: the estimate expected about 3.0 and the match produced one.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 57%; with 1 goal the under came in, against the way the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 60%; they did not both score, against the estimate.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-09, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

Dinamo Zagreb had 3 shots on target, Anderlecht 6.

Dinamo Zagreb's goalkeeper made 6 saves.

Anderlecht had 55% of the ball, but Dinamo Zagreb took the points.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Dinamo Zagreb came into it with 4 Europa League matches played, scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.0 a match, with 1.61 expected goals for and – against, and had won 50% of their matches.

Anderlecht came into it with 4 Europa League matches played, scoring 1.5 and conceding 0.8 a match, with 1.08 expected goals for and – against, and had won 50% of their matches.

Dinamo Zagreb vs Anderlecht: the match in numbers

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Dominik Kotarski (Dinamo Zagreb), rated 8.3 by Sportmonks.

Dinamo Zagreb

• Dominik Kotarski 8.3
• Luka Ivanušec 7.5
• Arbër Hoxha 7.4
• Sergi Domínguez Viloria 7.2
• Dion Beljo 7.1 1 goal

Anderlecht

• Oleg Reabciuk 7.2
• Tristan Degreef 7.2
• Mario Stroeykens 7.1
• Thelo Aasgaard 7.0
• Andrew Omobamidele 6.9

The lowest-rated starter was Niko Galesic at 6.3. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

• Dinamo Zagreb: Dinamo Zagreb vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen Thursday 26 November 2026 · Europa League
• Anderlecht: Anderlecht vs OH Leuven Sunday 22 November 2026 · Belgian Pro League

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Dinamo Zagreb vs Anderlecht

What was the score in Dinamo Zagreb vs Anderlecht?

Dinamo Zagreb 1-0 Anderlecht (half-time 0-0), Europa League, Thursday 15 October 2026.

Who scored in Dinamo Zagreb vs Anderlecht?

Dion Beljo 90+6'.

Did Moneyball predict Dinamo Zagreb vs Anderlecht correctly?

This one went against the numbers. The estimate made an Anderlecht win the likeliest outcome (39%), and a Dinamo Zagreb win, at 36%, is what happened.

Who was man of the match in Dinamo Zagreb vs Anderlecht?

Dominik Kotarski, rated 8.3 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Dinamo Zagreb vs Anderlecht?

O. Grinfeeld.