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Derby County 0-4 Norwich City: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

Full time: Derby County 0-4 Norwich City

Derby County 0-4 Norwich City: Norwich City took the points in Championship Matchday 14 on Tuesday 3 November 2026 at Pride Park Stadium. The goals: Anthony Musaba 8', Paris Maghoma 27', Darlin Yongwa 44', Jovon Makama 66'. Moneyball's pre-match estimate had the result right.

How Norwich City won it

The opening goal came in the 8th minute: Anthony Musaba for Norwich City. Paris Maghoma made it 0-2 to Norwich City in the 27th minute, set up by Jack Stacey. Darlin Yongwa made it 0-3 to Norwich City in the 44th minute, set up by Andre Brooks. Jovon Makama made it 0-4 to Norwich City in the 66th minute.

It was 0-3 at half-time.

The referee, S. Allison, showed 1 yellow card: 1 to Derby County and 0 to Norwich City.

Derby County: J. Eustace, 4-4-2 · Norwich City: P. Clement, 4-2-3-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

A correct call on the result: 48% for a Norwich City win before the match. The scoreline, 0-4, was not the estimate's first choice (1-2).

On goals the estimate was close: about 3.2 expected, 4 scored.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 62%; with 4 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 63%; they did not both score, against the estimate.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-03, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 2.44 for Derby County and 0.69 for Norwich City.

Derby County scored about 2.4 fewer than their chances were worth: poor finishing, or a goalkeeper at his best.

Norwich City made more of their chances than the xG suggests, by about 3.3 goals.

Derby County created the better chances, 2.44 xG to 0.69, and still lost. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.

The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected Norwich City to create more, and Derby County did.

Derby County had 2 shots on target, Norwich City 8.

Norwich City had 54% of the ball and turned it into the win.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Derby County came into it with 15 Championship matches played, scoring 0.9 and conceding 2.0 a match, with 1.11 expected goals for and 2.10 against, and had won 13% of their matches.

Norwich City came into it with 15 Championship matches played, scoring 2.1 and conceding 1.6 a match, with 1.57 expected goals for and 1.54 against, and had won 47% of their matches.

Derby County vs Norwich City: the match in numbers

Derby CountyMatch statisticsNorwich City
46%Ball possession54%
2.44Expected goals (xG)0.69
6Total shots19
2Shots on target8
1Big chances4
400Total passes478
80%Pass accuracy86%
4Corners5
10Fouls8
0Offsides4
25Tackles12
4Saves2
1Yellow cards0

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Jack Stacey (Norwich City), rated 8.0 by Sportmonks, with 1 assist.

Derby County

Norwich City

The lowest-rated starter was Isaac Gordon at 5.5. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Derby County vs Norwich City

What was the score in Derby County vs Norwich City?

Derby County 0-4 Norwich City (half-time 0-3), Championship, Tuesday 3 November 2026.

Who scored in Derby County vs Norwich City?

Anthony Musaba 8', Paris Maghoma 27', Darlin Yongwa 44', Jovon Makama 66'.

Did Moneyball predict Derby County vs Norwich City correctly?

A correct call on the result: 48% for a Norwich City win before the match. The scoreline, 0-4, was not the estimate's first choice (1-2).

Who was man of the match in Derby County vs Norwich City?

Jack Stacey, rated 8.0 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Derby County vs Norwich City?

S. Allison.

Every match, before and after

Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.

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Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.