Deportivo Alavés 1-1 Málaga: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

How the match unfolded

Málaga struck first through Adrián Niño Heredia in the 44th minute, set up by Ramón Enríquez. Deportivo Alavés levelled at 1-1 in the 89th minute through Aitor Mañas. A late equaliser, and a point saved.

It was 0-1 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.

The referee, C. Muñiz Muñoz, showed 4 yellow cards: 2 to Deportivo Alavés and 2 to Málaga.

Deportivo Alavés: E. Sánchez Flores, 5-3-2 · Málaga: J. Funes Arjona, 4-1-4-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Alaves Win, and on 1-1 it was wrong.

The estimate's most likely result was a Deportivo Alavés win at 54%; a draw, at 27%, is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-0 (14%).

On goals the estimate was close: about 2.4 expected, 2 scored.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 43%; with 2 goals the under came in, as the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 45%; both did, against the estimate.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-23, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 1.00 for Deportivo Alavés and 1.86 for Málaga.

Málaga created the better chances, 1.86 xG to 1.00, and still did not win. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.

The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected Deportivo Alavés to create more, and Málaga did.

Deportivo Alavés had 4 shots on target, Málaga 3.

Deportivo Alavés had 50% of the ball.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Deportivo Alavés came into it with 12 La Liga matches played, scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.4 a match, with 1.15 expected goals for and 1.41 against, and had won 25% of their matches.

Málaga came into it with 12 La Liga matches played, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.9 a match, with 1.06 expected goals for and 1.79 against, and had won 0% of their matches.

Deportivo Alavés vs Málaga: the match in numbers

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Carlos Puga (Málaga), rated 7.6 by Sportmonks.

Deportivo Alavés

• Aitor Mañas 7.4 1 goal
• Pablo Ibáñez 7.3
• Hugo Novoa 7.1
• Nahuel Tenaglia 7.1
• Toni Martínez 7.0

Málaga

• Carlos Puga 7.6
• Adrián Niño Heredia 7.5 1 goal
• Ramón Enríquez 7.4 1 assist
• Rafita Garrido 7.1
• Einar Galilea 7.1

The lowest-rated starter was Abde Rebbach at 5.8. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

• Deportivo Alavés: Deportivo Alavés vs Deportivo A Coruña Saturday 21 November 2026 · La Liga
• Málaga: Osasuna vs Málaga Sunday 22 November 2026 · La Liga

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Deportivo Alavés vs Málaga

What was the score in Deportivo Alavés vs Málaga?

Deportivo Alavés 1-1 Málaga (half-time 0-1), La Liga, Friday 23 October 2026.

Who scored in Deportivo Alavés vs Málaga?

Adrián Niño Heredia 44', Aitor Mañas 89'.

Did Moneyball predict Deportivo Alavés vs Málaga correctly?

The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Alaves Win, and on 1-1 it was wrong.

Who was man of the match in Deportivo Alavés vs Málaga?

Carlos Puga, rated 7.6 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Deportivo Alavés vs Málaga?

C. Muñiz Muñoz.