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Defensa y Justicia 1-1 Independiente: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

Full time: Defensa y Justicia 1-1 Independiente

Defensa y Justicia and Independiente drew 1-1 in Liga Profesional Argentina Matchday 15 on Monday 2 November 2026 at Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello. The goals: Leandro Fernández 38', Maximiliano Meza 44'. It went against Moneyball's pre-match estimate.

How the match unfolded

The opening goal came in the 38th minute: Leandro Fernández for Defensa y Justicia, set up by David Barbona. Independiente levelled at 1-1 in the 44th minute through Maximiliano Meza from the penalty spot.

It was 1-1 at half-time, and nothing changed after the break.

The referee, S. Martínez, showed 6 yellow cards: 1 to Defensa y Justicia and 5 to Independiente.

Defensa y Justicia: J. Vaccari, 4-2-3-1 · Independiente: J. Viera Castro, 4-2-3-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Defensa y Justicia -0.25. On 1-1 it was half wrong.

The estimate's most likely result was a Defensa y Justicia win at 45%; a draw, at 29%, is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (14%), exactly the final score.

On goals the estimate was close: about 2.3 expected, 2 scored.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 41%; with 2 goals the under came in, as the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 47%; both did, against the estimate.

The pre-match consensus had a Defensa y Justicia win at 42%, the same lean as Moneyball.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-02, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 1.31 for Defensa y Justicia and 1.12 for Independiente.

Defensa y Justicia had 8 shots on target, Independiente 6.

Independiente's goalkeeper made 8 saves.

Defensa y Justicia had 57% of the ball.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Defensa y Justicia came into it with 32 Liga Profesional Argentina matches played, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.1 a match, with 1.18 expected goals for and 1.14 against, and had won 38% of their matches.

Independiente came into it with 33 Liga Profesional Argentina matches played, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.2 a match, with 1.10 expected goals for and 1.23 against, and had won 36% of their matches.

Defensa y Justicia vs Independiente: the match in numbers

Defensa y JusticiaMatch statisticsIndependiente
57%Ball possession43%
1.31Expected goals (xG)1.12
16Total shots12
8Shots on target6
2Big chances3
378Total passes272
76%Pass accuracy68%
5Corners7
7Fouls14
6Offsides1
11Tackles19
5Saves8
1Yellow cards5

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Santiago Mele (Independiente), rated 8.0 by Sportmonks.

Defensa y Justicia

Independiente

The lowest-rated starter was Josias Palais at 5.9. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Defensa y Justicia vs Independiente

What was the score in Defensa y Justicia vs Independiente?

Defensa y Justicia 1-1 Independiente (half-time 1-1), Liga Profesional Argentina, Monday 2 November 2026.

Who scored in Defensa y Justicia vs Independiente?

Leandro Fernández 38', Maximiliano Meza 44'.

Did Moneyball predict Defensa y Justicia vs Independiente correctly?

Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Defensa y Justicia -0.25. On 1-1 it was half wrong.

Who was man of the match in Defensa y Justicia vs Independiente?

Santiago Mele, rated 8.0 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Defensa y Justicia vs Independiente?

S. Martínez.

Every match, before and after

Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.

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Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.