Defensa y Justicia 1-1 Independiente: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Liga Profesional Argentina Matchday 15 · Monday 2 November 2026 · Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello, Florencio Varela · referee S. Martínez · full time
Full time: Defensa y Justicia 1-1 Independiente
Defensa y Justicia and Independiente drew 1-1 in Liga Profesional Argentina Matchday 15 on Monday 2 November 2026 at Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello. The goals: Leandro Fernández 38', Maximiliano Meza 44'. It went against Moneyball's pre-match estimate.
How the match unfolded
The opening goal came in the 38th minute: Leandro Fernández for Defensa y Justicia, set up by David Barbona. Independiente levelled at 1-1 in the 44th minute through Maximiliano Meza from the penalty spot.
It was 1-1 at half-time, and nothing changed after the break.
The referee, S. Martínez, showed 6 yellow cards: 1 to Defensa y Justicia and 5 to Independiente.
Defensa y Justicia: J. Vaccari, 4-2-3-1 · Independiente: J. Viera Castro, 4-2-3-1.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Defensa y Justicia -0.25. On 1-1 it was half wrong.
The estimate's most likely result was a Defensa y Justicia win at 45%; a draw, at 29%, is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (14%), exactly the final score.
On goals the estimate was close: about 2.3 expected, 2 scored.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 41%; with 2 goals the under came in, as the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 47%; both did, against the estimate.
The pre-match consensus had a Defensa y Justicia win at 42%, the same lean as Moneyball.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-02, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
On the day the expected goals were 1.31 for Defensa y Justicia and 1.12 for Independiente.
Defensa y Justicia had 8 shots on target, Independiente 6.
Independiente's goalkeeper made 8 saves.
Defensa y Justicia had 57% of the ball.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Defensa y Justicia came into it with 32 Liga Profesional Argentina matches played, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.1 a match, with 1.18 expected goals for and 1.14 against, and had won 38% of their matches.
Independiente came into it with 33 Liga Profesional Argentina matches played, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.2 a match, with 1.10 expected goals for and 1.23 against, and had won 36% of their matches.
Defensa y Justicia vs Independiente: the match in numbers
| Defensa y Justicia | Match statistics | Independiente |
|---|---|---|
| 57% | Ball possession | 43% |
| 1.31 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.12 |
| 16 | Total shots | 12 |
| 8 | Shots on target | 6 |
| 2 | Big chances | 3 |
| 378 | Total passes | 272 |
| 76% | Pass accuracy | 68% |
| 5 | Corners | 7 |
| 7 | Fouls | 14 |
| 6 | Offsides | 1 |
| 11 | Tackles | 19 |
| 5 | Saves | 8 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 5 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Santiago Mele (Independiente), rated 8.0 by Sportmonks.
Defensa y Justicia
- Leandro Fernández 7.9 1 goal
- Matías Borgogno 7.4
- David Barbona 7.3 1 assist
- Aarón Molinas 7.0
- Santiago Sosa 7.0
Independiente
- Santiago Mele 8.0
- Maximiliano Meza 7.5 1 goal
- Chimy Ávila 7.2
- Santiago Arias 7.0
- Facundo Cruz 7.0
The lowest-rated starter was Josias Palais at 5.9. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Defensa y Justicia: Defensa y Justicia vs Barracas Central Saturday 21 November 2026 · Liga Profesional Argentina
- Independiente: Argentinos Juniors vs Independiente Saturday 21 November 2026 · Liga Profesional Argentina
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Defensa y Justicia vs Independiente
What was the score in Defensa y Justicia vs Independiente?
Defensa y Justicia 1-1 Independiente (half-time 1-1), Liga Profesional Argentina, Monday 2 November 2026.
Who scored in Defensa y Justicia vs Independiente?
Leandro Fernández 38', Maximiliano Meza 44'.
Did Moneyball predict Defensa y Justicia vs Independiente correctly?
Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Defensa y Justicia -0.25. On 1-1 it was half wrong.
Who was man of the match in Defensa y Justicia vs Independiente?
Santiago Mele, rated 8.0 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Defensa y Justicia vs Independiente?
S. Martínez.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.