Crystal Palace 0-2 Newcastle United: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Premier League Matchday 8 · Sunday 25 October 2026 · Selhurst Park, London · referee P. Tierney · full time
Full time: Crystal Palace 0-2 Newcastle United
Newcastle United beat Crystal Palace 2-0 in Premier League Matchday 8 on Sunday 25 October 2026 at Selhurst Park. The goals: William Osula 47', Harvey Barnes 58'. Moneyball's pre-match estimate had the result right.
How Newcastle United won it
William Osula put Newcastle United ahead in the 47th minute, set up by Jacob Murphy. Harvey Barnes made it 0-2 to Newcastle United in the 58th minute, set up by Amar Dedic.
It was 0-0 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.
The referee, P. Tierney, showed 6 yellow cards: 3 to Crystal Palace and 3 to Newcastle United.
Crystal Palace: P. Sage, 3-4-2-1 · Newcastle United: M. Jaissle, 4-2-3-1.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
The prediction was right. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Newcastle United 0.00, and on 0-2 it was right.
The estimate's most likely result was a Newcastle United win at 43%, and that is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (11%).
On goals the estimate was close: about 3.2 expected, 2 scored.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 61%; with 2 goals the under came in, against the way the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 64%; they did not both score, against the estimate.
The pre-match consensus had a Newcastle United win at 39%, the same lean as Moneyball.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-25, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
On the day the expected goals were 1.11 for Crystal Palace and 1.83 for Newcastle United.
Crystal Palace scored about 1.1 fewer than their chances were worth: poor finishing, or a goalkeeper at his best.
Crystal Palace had 4 shots on target, Newcastle United 2.
Crystal Palace had 53% of the ball, but Newcastle United took the points.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Crystal Palace came into it with 10 Premier League matches played, scoring 1.0 and conceding 2.4 a match, with 1.28 expected goals for and 2.42 against, and had won 20% of their matches.
Newcastle United came into it with 10 Premier League matches played, scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.6 a match, with 1.26 expected goals for and 1.84 against, and had won 30% of their matches.
Crystal Palace vs Newcastle United: the match in numbers
| Crystal Palace | Match statistics | Newcastle United |
|---|---|---|
| 53% | Ball possession | 47% |
| 1.11 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.83 |
| 17 | Total shots | 10 |
| 4 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 2 | Big chances | 2 |
| 385 | Total passes | 352 |
| 69% | Pass accuracy | 70% |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 10 |
| 4 | Offsides | 1 |
| 21 | Tackles | 11 |
| 0 | Saves | 4 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Lukas Hornicek (Newcastle United), rated 7.7 by Sportmonks.
Crystal Palace
- Anan Khalaili 7.3
- Darío Osorio 7.2
- Axel Disasi 7.0
- Dwight McNeil 6.9
- Chris Richards 6.9
Newcastle United
- Lukas Hornicek 7.7
- Jacob Murphy 7.5 1 assist
- Joelinton 7.3
- Fabian Schär 7.3
- William Osula 7.3 1 goal
The lowest-rated starter was Walter Benítez at 5.9. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Crystal Palace: Coventry City vs Crystal Palace Saturday 21 November 2026 · Premier League
- Newcastle United: Newcastle United vs Arsenal Saturday 21 November 2026 · Premier League
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Crystal Palace vs Newcastle United
What was the score in Crystal Palace vs Newcastle United?
Crystal Palace 0-2 Newcastle United (half-time 0-0), Premier League, Sunday 25 October 2026.
Who scored in Crystal Palace vs Newcastle United?
William Osula 47', Harvey Barnes 58'.
Did Moneyball predict Crystal Palace vs Newcastle United correctly?
The prediction was right. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Newcastle United 0.00, and on 0-2 it was right.
Who was man of the match in Crystal Palace vs Newcastle United?
Lukas Hornicek, rated 7.7 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Crystal Palace vs Newcastle United?
P. Tierney.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.