Crvena Zvezda 2-1 Inter Club d'Escaldes: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

How Crvena Zvezda won it

Inter Club d'Escaldes struck first through Borja Arellano in the 62nd minute, set up by Maurizio Pochettino. Crvena Zvezda levelled at 1-1 in the 80th minute through Vladimir Lucic, set up by Rade Krunic. Crvena Zvezda turned it round: an own goal by Javi Díaz made it 2-1 in the 90th minute (+2). A late goal, and the one that decided the result.

It was 0-0 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.

The lead changed hands once.

Aleksandar Katai of Crvena Zvezda was sent off in the 35th minute. Domi Berlanga of Inter Club d'Escaldes was sent off in the 51st minute for a second yellow card. The referee, H. Nalbandyan, showed 6 yellow cards: 2 to Crvena Zvezda and 4 to Inter Club d'Escaldes.

Crvena Zvezda: A. Riera Ortega, 3-2-4-1 · Inter Club d'Escaldes: F. Ortiz Martinez, 4-3-3.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Over 3.50, and on 2-1 it was wrong.

The estimate's most likely result was a Crvena Zvezda win at 87%, and that is what happened. Its single most likely score was 3-0 (13%).

On goals the estimate was close: about 3.7 expected, 3 scored.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 70%; with 3 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 42%; both did, against the estimate.

The pre-match consensus had a Crvena Zvezda win at 84%, the same lean as Moneyball.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-05, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

Crvena Zvezda had 8 shots on target, Inter Club d'Escaldes 3.

Inter Club d'Escaldes's goalkeeper made 7 saves.

Crvena Zvezda had 55% of the ball and turned it into the win.

A red card changed the shape of the match, and no pre-match model can see one coming.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Crvena Zvezda came into it with 3 Europa Conference League matches played, scoring 2.0 and conceding 2.0 a match, with 1.96 expected goals for and – against, and had won 33% of their matches.

Inter Club d'Escaldes came into it with 3 Europa Conference League matches played, scoring 0.7 and conceding 2.3 a match, with 0.30 expected goals for and – against, and had won 0% of their matches.

Crvena Zvezda vs Inter Club d'Escaldes: the match in numbers

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Rade Krunic (Crvena Zvezda), rated 8.3 by Sportmonks, with 1 assist.

Crvena Zvezda

• Rade Krunic 8.3 1 assist
• Osman Bukari 7.5
• Vladimir Lucic 7.5 1 goal
• Matej Gashtarov 7.3
• Yuta Nakayama 7.2

Inter Club d'Escaldes

• Javi Díaz 8.2
• Borja Arellano 7.2 1 goal
• Álex Sánchez 7.0
• Anwar Hernández 6.9
• Maurizio Pochettino 6.9 1 assist

The lowest-rated starter was Aleksandar Katai at 5.6. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

• Crvena Zvezda: Gent vs Crvena Zvezda Thursday 26 November 2026 · Europa Conference League
• Inter Club d'Escaldes: Inter Club d'Escaldes vs FC København Thursday 26 November 2026 · Europa Conference League

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Crvena Zvezda vs Inter Club d'Escaldes

What was the score in Crvena Zvezda vs Inter Club d'Escaldes?

Crvena Zvezda 2-1 Inter Club d'Escaldes (half-time 0-0), Europa Conference League, Thursday 5 November 2026.

Who scored in Crvena Zvezda vs Inter Club d'Escaldes?

Borja Arellano 62', Vladimir Lucic 80'.

Did Moneyball predict Crvena Zvezda vs Inter Club d'Escaldes correctly?

The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Over 3.50, and on 2-1 it was wrong.

Who was man of the match in Crvena Zvezda vs Inter Club d'Escaldes?

Rade Krunic, rated 8.3 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Crvena Zvezda vs Inter Club d'Escaldes?

H. Nalbandyan.