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Crvena Zvezda 2-2 FC København: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

Full time: Crvena Zvezda 2-2 FC København

Crvena Zvezda and FC København drew 2-2 in Europa Conference League Matchday 2 on Thursday 22 October 2026 at Stadion Rajko Mitić. The goals: Timi Max Elsnik 34', Vasilije Kostov 41', Maher Carrizo 70'. It went against Moneyball's pre-match estimate.

How the match unfolded

FC København struck first through an own goal by Matej Gashtarov in the 29th minute. Crvena Zvezda levelled at 1-1 in the 34th minute through Timi Max Elsnik, set up by Vladimir Lucic. Crvena Zvezda turned it round: Vasilije Kostov made it 2-1 in the 41st minute, set up by Mihailo Ristic. FC København levelled at 2-2 in the 70th minute through Maher Carrizo, set up by Ákos Markgráf.

It was 2-1 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.

The lead changed hands once.

Stefan Gudelj of Crvena Zvezda was sent off in the 90th minute (+3). The referee, R. Petrescu, showed 4 yellow cards: 2 to Crvena Zvezda and 2 to FC København.

Crvena Zvezda: A. Riera Ortega, 3-2-4-1 · FC København: B. Svensson, 3-4-2-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

A miss for the model: 39% for a Crvena Zvezda win, 26% for a draw, and football chose the second.

On goals the estimate was close: about 3.0 expected, 4 scored.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 57%; with 4 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 60%; both did, in line with the estimate.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-22, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

Crvena Zvezda had 5 shots on target, FC København 2.

Crvena Zvezda had 58% of the ball.

A red card changed the shape of the match, and no pre-match model can see one coming.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Crvena Zvezda came into it with 3 Europa Conference League matches played, scoring 2.0 and conceding 2.0 a match, with 1.96 expected goals for and – against, and had won 33% of their matches.

FC København came into it with 3 Europa Conference League matches played, scoring 2.3 and conceding 1.0 a match, with 1.92 expected goals for and – against, and had won 67% of their matches.

Crvena Zvezda vs FC København: the match in numbers

Crvena ZvezdaMatch statisticsFC København
58%Ball possession42%
12Total shots8
5Shots on target2
2Big chances2
574Total passes406
88%Pass accuracy82%
4Corners6
9Fouls13
2Offsides1
14Tackles11
1Saves3
2Yellow cards2
1Red cards0

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Maher Carrizo (FC København), rated 7.5 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal.

Crvena Zvezda

FC København

The lowest-rated starter was Bamba Dieng at 5.8. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Crvena Zvezda vs FC København

What was the score in Crvena Zvezda vs FC København?

Crvena Zvezda 2-2 FC København (half-time 2-1), Europa Conference League, Thursday 22 October 2026.

Who scored in Crvena Zvezda vs FC København?

Timi Max Elsnik 34', Vasilije Kostov 41', Maher Carrizo 70'.

Did Moneyball predict Crvena Zvezda vs FC København correctly?

A miss for the model: 39% for a Crvena Zvezda win, 26% for a draw, and football chose the second.

Who was man of the match in Crvena Zvezda vs FC København?

Maher Carrizo, rated 7.5 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Crvena Zvezda vs FC København?

R. Petrescu.

Every match, before and after

Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.

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Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.