Como 1-0 Venezia: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Serie A Matchday 10 · Sunday 1 November 2026 · Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, Como · referee M. Ferrieri Caputi · full time
Full time: Como 1-0 Venezia
Como 1-0 Venezia: Como took the points in Serie A Matchday 10 on Sunday 1 November 2026 at Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia. The goals: Lucas Da Cunha 43'. Moneyball's pre-match estimate had the result right.
How Como won it
Lucas Da Cunha put Como ahead in the 43rd minute from the penalty spot.
It was 1-0 at half-time, and nothing changed after the break.
The referee, M. Ferrieri Caputi, showed 3 yellow cards: 1 to Como and 2 to Venezia.
Como: F. Fàbregas i Soler, 4-2-3-1 · Venezia: D. Nicola, 3-5-2.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
A correct call: the Match Board's pick was Under 3.50, and 1-0 bears it out.
The estimate's most likely result was a Como win at 71%, and that is what happened. Its single most likely score was 2-0 (10%).
The goals dried up: the estimate expected about 3.4 and the match produced one.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 65%; with 1 goal the under came in, against the way the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 56%; they did not both score, against the estimate.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-01, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
On the day the expected goals were 0.23 for Como and 1.81 for Venezia.
Venezia left about 1.8 goals' worth of chances on the pitch.
Venezia created the better chances, 1.81 xG to 0.23, and still lost. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.
The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected Como to create more, and Venezia did.
Como had 4 shots on target, Venezia 1.
Como had 66% of the ball and turned it into the win.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Como came into it with 11 Serie A matches played, scoring 1.6 and conceding 0.9 a match, with 1.71 expected goals for and 1.33 against, and had won 64% of their matches.
Venezia came into it with 11 Serie A matches played, scoring 0.7 and conceding 1.9 a match, with 1.43 expected goals for and 1.87 against, and had won 18% of their matches.
Como vs Venezia: the match in numbers
| Como | Match statistics | Venezia |
|---|---|---|
| 66% | Ball possession | 34% |
| 0.23 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.81 |
| 19 | Total shots | 7 |
| 4 | Shots on target | 1 |
| 2 | Big chances | 0 |
| 720 | Total passes | 373 |
| 91% | Pass accuracy | 83% |
| 8 | Corners | 1 |
| 5 | Fouls | 9 |
| 1 | Offsides | 3 |
| 15 | Tackles | 19 |
| 1 | Saves | 3 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Luis Milla (Como), rated 7.8 by Sportmonks.
Como
- Luis Milla 7.8
- Samuele Ricci 7.5
- Lucas Da Cunha 7.4 1 goal
- Marc Oliver Kempf 7.4
- Kaiki 7.3
Venezia
- Matías Moreno 7.3
- Redouane Halhal 7.2
- Toma Bašić 7.1
- Filip Stanković 7.1
- Kike Pérez 7.1
The lowest-rated starter was Juan Jesus at 6.3. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Como: Como vs Cagliari Saturday 21 November 2026 · Serie A
- Venezia: Juventus vs Venezia Sunday 22 November 2026 · Serie A
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Como vs Venezia
What was the score in Como vs Venezia?
Como 1-0 Venezia (half-time 1-0), Serie A, Sunday 1 November 2026.
Who scored in Como vs Venezia?
Lucas Da Cunha 43'.
Did Moneyball predict Como vs Venezia correctly?
A correct call: the Match Board's pick was Under 3.50, and 1-0 bears it out.
Who was man of the match in Como vs Venezia?
Luis Milla, rated 7.8 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Como vs Venezia?
M. Ferrieri Caputi.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.