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Colorado Rapids 2-4 Chicago Fire: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

Full time: Colorado Rapids 2-4 Chicago Fire

Colorado Rapids 2-4 Chicago Fire: Chicago Fire took the points in MLS on Sunday 1 November 2026 at Dick's Sporting Goods Park. The goals: Morgan Whittaker 22', Jonathan Bamba 41', Jonathan Bamba 56', Paxten Aaronson 58', Robert Lewandowski 74', Puso Dithejane 88'. It went against Moneyball's pre-match estimate.

How Chicago Fire won it

Morgan Whittaker put Colorado Rapids ahead in the 22nd minute, set up by Georgi Minoungou. Chicago Fire levelled at 1-1 in the 41st minute through Jonathan Bamba. Chicago Fire turned it round: Jonathan Bamba made it 1-2 in the 56th minute, set up by Jonathan Dean. Colorado Rapids levelled at 2-2 in the 58th minute through Paxten Aaronson, set up by Georgi Minoungou. Robert Lewandowski made it 2-3 to Chicago Fire in the 74th minute, set up by Philip Zinckernagel. Puso Dithejane made it 2-4 to Chicago Fire in the 88th minute, set up by Robert Lewandowski.

It was 1-1 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.

Jonathan Bamba scored twice.

The lead changed hands once.

The referee, M. Badawi, showed 6 yellow cards: 4 to Colorado Rapids and 2 to Chicago Fire.

Colorado Rapids: M. Wells, 4-2-3-1 · Chicago Fire: G. Berhalter, 4-4-2.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

The prediction missed. Before kick-off Moneyball leaned to a Colorado Rapids win at 42% and gave a Chicago Fire win 31%; the match went the other way.

The match had far more goals than expected: the estimate was about 2.7 goals and there were 6.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 51%; with 6 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 55%; both did, in line with the estimate.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-01, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 2.31 for Colorado Rapids and 1.51 for Chicago Fire.

Chicago Fire made more of their chances than the xG suggests, by about 2.5 goals.

Colorado Rapids created the better chances, 2.31 xG to 1.51, and still lost. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.

Colorado Rapids had 4 shots on target, Chicago Fire 6.

Colorado Rapids had 57% of the ball, but Chicago Fire took the points.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Colorado Rapids came into it with 34 MLS matches played, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.5 a match, with 1.49 expected goals for and 1.34 against, and had won 35% of their matches.

Chicago Fire came into it with 34 MLS matches played, scoring 1.9 and conceding 1.6 a match, with 1.88 expected goals for and 1.42 against, and had won 47% of their matches.

Colorado Rapids vs Chicago Fire: the match in numbers

Colorado RapidsMatch statisticsChicago Fire
57%Ball possession43%
2.31Expected goals (xG)1.51
14Total shots14
4Shots on target6
1Big chances5
508Total passes380
87%Pass accuracy78%
5Corners6
11Fouls13
0Offsides5
13Tackles8
2Saves2
4Yellow cards2

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Jonathan Bamba (Chicago Fire), rated 8.6 by Sportmonks, with 2 goals.

Colorado Rapids

Chicago Fire

The lowest-rated starter was Nicolas Hansen at 6.1. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Colorado Rapids vs Chicago Fire

What was the score in Colorado Rapids vs Chicago Fire?

Colorado Rapids 2-4 Chicago Fire (half-time 1-1), MLS, Sunday 1 November 2026.

Who scored in Colorado Rapids vs Chicago Fire?

Morgan Whittaker 22', Jonathan Bamba 41', Jonathan Bamba 56', Paxten Aaronson 58', Robert Lewandowski 74', Puso Dithejane 88'.

Did Moneyball predict Colorado Rapids vs Chicago Fire correctly?

The prediction missed. Before kick-off Moneyball leaned to a Colorado Rapids win at 42% and gave a Chicago Fire win 31%; the match went the other way.

Who was man of the match in Colorado Rapids vs Chicago Fire?

Jonathan Bamba, rated 8.6 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Colorado Rapids vs Chicago Fire?

M. Badawi.

Every match, before and after

Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.

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Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.