Cincinnati 0-2 Nashville SC: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

How Nashville SC won it

Sam Surridge put Nashville SC ahead in the 61st minute, set up by Andy Nájar. Sam Surridge made it 0-2 to Nashville SC in the 86th minute, set up by Patrick Yazbek.

It was 0-0 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.

Sam Surridge scored twice.

The referee, T. Penso, showed 7 yellow cards: 5 to Cincinnati and 2 to Nashville SC.

Cincinnati: P. Noonan, 3-4-1-2 · Nashville SC: B. Callaghan II, 4-2-3-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

The prediction got the result right. Before kick-off Moneyball made a Nashville SC win the most likely outcome at 49%, and that is what happened, though the most likely score was 1-2 rather than 0-2.

The goals dried up: the estimate expected about 3.3 and the match produced two.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 64%; with 2 goals the under came in, against the way the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 64%; they did not both score, against the estimate.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-07, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 1.28 for Cincinnati and 1.04 for Nashville SC.

Cincinnati scored about 1.3 fewer than their chances were worth: poor finishing, or a goalkeeper at his best.

Cincinnati had 5 shots on target, Nashville SC 5.

Nashville SC's goalkeeper made 5 saves.

Nashville SC had 51% of the ball and turned it into the win.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Cincinnati came into it with 34 MLS matches played, scoring 2.0 and conceding 2.2 a match, with 1.72 expected goals for and 1.50 against, and had won 35% of their matches.

Nashville SC came into it with 34 MLS matches played, scoring 2.1 and conceding 0.7 a match, with 1.67 expected goals for and 1.27 against, and had won 68% of their matches.

Cincinnati vs Nashville SC: the match in numbers

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Sam Surridge (Nashville SC), rated 8.6 by Sportmonks, with 2 goals.

Cincinnati

• Teenage Hadebe 7.2
• Bryan Ramírez 6.9
• Obinna Nwobodo 6.8
• Samuel Gidi 6.8
• Pavel Bucha 6.8

Nashville SC

• Sam Surridge 8.6 2 goals
• Patrick Yazbek 8.0 1 assist
• Brian Schwake 7.8
• Andy Nájar 7.6 1 assist
• Jack Maher 7.5

The lowest-rated starter was Kyle Smith at 6.4. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

• Cincinnati: Orlando City vs Cincinnati Friday 20 November 2026 · MLS
• Nashville SC: Nashville SC vs TBC Sunday 22 November 2026 · MLS

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Cincinnati vs Nashville SC

What was the score in Cincinnati vs Nashville SC?

Cincinnati 0-2 Nashville SC (half-time 0-0), MLS, Saturday 7 November 2026.

Who scored in Cincinnati vs Nashville SC?

Sam Surridge 61', Sam Surridge 86'.

Did Moneyball predict Cincinnati vs Nashville SC correctly?

The prediction got the result right. Before kick-off Moneyball made a Nashville SC win the most likely outcome at 49%, and that is what happened, though the most likely score was 1-2 rather than 0-2.

Who was man of the match in Cincinnati vs Nashville SC?

Sam Surridge, rated 8.6 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Cincinnati vs Nashville SC?

T. Penso.