Chelsea 5-1 AFC Bournemouth: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Premier League Matchday 6 · Saturday 10 October 2026 · Stamford Bridge, London · referee S. Barrott · full time
Full time: Chelsea 5-1 AFC Bournemouth
Chelsea won 5-1 at home to AFC Bournemouth in Premier League Matchday 6 on Saturday 10 October 2026. The goals: Jordan Henderson 2', Morgan Rogers 3', João Pedro 46', Evanilson 51', João Pedro 67', Jordan Henderson 70'. Moneyball's pre-match estimate had the result right.
How Chelsea won it
Jordan Henderson put Chelsea ahead in the 2nd minute, set up by Cole Palmer. Morgan Rogers made it 2-0 to Chelsea in the 3rd minute, set up by Jordan Henderson. João Pedro made it 3-0 to Chelsea in the 46th minute, set up by Pedro Neto. Evanilson made it 3-1 to AFC Bournemouth in the 51st minute. João Pedro made it 4-1 to Chelsea in the 67th minute, set up by Pep Chavarría. Jordan Henderson made it 5-1 to Chelsea in the 70th minute.
It was 2-0 at half-time.
Jordan Henderson scored twice.
João Pedro scored twice.
The referee, S. Barrott, showed 4 yellow cards: 0 to Chelsea and 4 to AFC Bournemouth.
Chelsea: X. Alonso Olano, 3-4-2-1 · AFC Bournemouth: M. Rose, 4-2-3-1.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
The prediction got the result right. Before kick-off Moneyball made a Chelsea win the most likely outcome at 42%, and that is what happened, though the most likely score was 1-1 rather than 5-1.
The match had far more goals than expected: the estimate was about 3.4 goals and there were 6.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 65%; with 6 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 66%; both did, in line with the estimate.
The pre-match consensus had a Chelsea win at 50%, the same lean as Moneyball.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-09, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
On the day the expected goals were 1.05 for Chelsea and 1.09 for AFC Bournemouth.
Chelsea scored about 4.0 more than their chances were worth: clinical finishing, or a goalkeeper having a bad day.
Chelsea had 6 shots on target, AFC Bournemouth 4.
Chelsea had 50% of the ball and turned it into the win.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Chelsea came into it with 10 Premier League matches played, scoring 1.9 and conceding 1.6 a match, with 1.39 expected goals for and 1.44 against, and had won 50% of their matches.
AFC Bournemouth came into it with 10 Premier League matches played, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.4 a match, with 1.60 expected goals for and 1.08 against, and had won 40% of their matches.
Chelsea vs AFC Bournemouth: the match in numbers
| Chelsea | Match statistics | AFC Bournemouth |
|---|---|---|
| 50% | Ball possession | 50% |
| 1.05 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.09 |
| 10 | Total shots | 9 |
| 6 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 2 | Big chances | 3 |
| 488 | Total passes | 472 |
| 84% | Pass accuracy | 84% |
| 1 | Corners | 7 |
| 7 | Fouls | 15 |
| 1 | Offsides | 0 |
| 18 | Tackles | 18 |
| 3 | Saves | 1 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 4 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Jordan Henderson (Chelsea), rated 8.9 by Sportmonks, with 2 goals, 1 assist.
Chelsea
- Jordan Henderson 8.9 2 goals, 1 assist
- João Pedro 8.2 2 goals
- Morgan Rogers 7.7 1 goal
- M. Caicedo 7.2
- Cole Palmer 7.2 1 assist
AFC Bournemouth
- Evanilson 7.6 1 goal
- Ryan Christie 6.9
- Ben Gannon-Doak 6.8
- Lewis Cook 6.6
- Julio Soler 6.5
The lowest-rated starter was Adam Smith at 5.5. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Chelsea: Chelsea vs Leeds United Saturday 21 November 2026 · Premier League
- AFC Bournemouth: AFC Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest Saturday 21 November 2026 · Premier League
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Chelsea vs AFC Bournemouth
What was the score in Chelsea vs AFC Bournemouth?
Chelsea 5-1 AFC Bournemouth (half-time 2-0), Premier League, Saturday 10 October 2026.
Who scored in Chelsea vs AFC Bournemouth?
Jordan Henderson 2', Morgan Rogers 3', João Pedro 46', Evanilson 51', João Pedro 67', Jordan Henderson 70'.
Did Moneyball predict Chelsea vs AFC Bournemouth correctly?
The prediction got the result right. Before kick-off Moneyball made a Chelsea win the most likely outcome at 42%, and that is what happened, though the most likely score was 1-1 rather than 5-1.
Who was man of the match in Chelsea vs AFC Bournemouth?
Jordan Henderson, rated 8.9 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Chelsea vs AFC Bournemouth?
S. Barrott.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.