Chapecoense 1-2 Mirassol: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Brasileirão Matchday 34 · Tuesday 3 November 2026 · Arena Condá, Chapecó · referee L. Torezin · full time
Full time: Chapecoense 1-2 Mirassol
Chapecoense 1-2 Mirassol: Mirassol took the points in Brasileirão Matchday 34 on Tuesday 3 November 2026 at Arena Condá. The goals: Kauan Faria 12', Reinaldo 45+4'. Moneyball's pre-match estimate had the result right.
How Mirassol won it
Chapecoense struck first through Kauan Faria in the 12th minute, set up by Giovanni Augusto. Mirassol levelled at 1-1 in the 45th minute (+4) through Reinaldo from the penalty spot. Mirassol turned it round: an own goal by Anderson made it 1-2 in the 57th minute.
It was 1-1 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.
The lead changed hands once.
The referee, L. Torezin, showed 5 yellow cards: 4 to Chapecoense and 1 to Mirassol. Reinaldo missed a penalty for Mirassol in the 20 minute.
Chapecoense: R. dos Santos Lacerda, 4-2-3-1 · Mirassol: R. Silva Guanaes, 4-2-3-1.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Over 2.75. On 1-2 it was half right.
The estimate's most likely result was a Mirassol win at 46%, and that is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (11%).
On goals the estimate was close: about 3.1 expected, 3 scored.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 60%; with 3 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 62%; both did, in line with the estimate.
The pre-match consensus had a Mirassol win at 44%, the same lean as Moneyball.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-03, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
On the day the expected goals were 2.33 for Chapecoense and 0.64 for Mirassol.
Chapecoense scored about 1.3 fewer than their chances were worth: poor finishing, or a goalkeeper at his best.
Mirassol made more of their chances than the xG suggests, by about 1.4 goals.
Chapecoense created the better chances, 2.33 xG to 0.64, and still lost. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.
The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected Mirassol to create more, and Chapecoense did.
Chapecoense had 4 shots on target, Mirassol 4.
Mirassol had 53% of the ball and turned it into the win.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Chapecoense came into it with 33 Brasileirão matches played, scoring 1.0 and conceding 2.1 a match, with 1.08 expected goals for and 1.90 against, and had won 12% of their matches.
Mirassol came into it with 34 Brasileirão matches played, scoring 1.1 and conceding 1.4 a match, with 1.34 expected goals for and 1.82 against, and had won 29% of their matches.
Chapecoense vs Mirassol: the match in numbers
| Chapecoense | Match statistics | Mirassol |
|---|---|---|
| 47% | Ball possession | 53% |
| 2.33 | Expected goals (xG) | 0.64 |
| 11 | Total shots | 16 |
| 4 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 1 | Big chances | 3 |
| 439 | Total passes | 495 |
| 83% | Pass accuracy | 89% |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 19 | Fouls | 14 |
| 24 | Tackles | 12 |
| 3 | Saves | 3 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Kauan Faria (Chapecoense), rated 7.8 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal.
Chapecoense
- Kauan Faria 7.8 1 goal
- Giovanni Augusto 7.3 1 assist
- Camilo 7.0
- Miguel Carvalho 7.0
- Heitor 7.0
Mirassol
- João Victor 7.1
- Reinaldo 7.1 1 goal
- Neto Moura 7.1
- Alesson 7.0
- Carlos Eduardo 7.0
The lowest-rated starter was Eduardo at 6.3. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Chapecoense: Chapecoense vs Vasco da Gama Saturday 14 November 2026 · Brasileirão
- Mirassol: Mirassol vs Atlético Mineiro Saturday 14 November 2026 · Brasileirão
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Chapecoense vs Mirassol
What was the score in Chapecoense vs Mirassol?
Chapecoense 1-2 Mirassol (half-time 1-1), Brasileirão, Tuesday 3 November 2026.
Who scored in Chapecoense vs Mirassol?
Kauan Faria 12', Reinaldo 45+4'.
Did Moneyball predict Chapecoense vs Mirassol correctly?
Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Over 2.75. On 1-2 it was half right.
Who was man of the match in Chapecoense vs Mirassol?
Kauan Faria, rated 7.8 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Chapecoense vs Mirassol?
L. Torezin.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.