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Celje 2-2 Salzburg: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

Full time: Celje 2-2 Salzburg

Celje and Salzburg drew 2-2 in Europa League Matchday 3 on Thursday 22 October 2026 at Stadion Z'dežele. The goals: Sota Kitano 9', Jesper Lindstrøm 46', Blaz Kramer 50', Armandas Kučys 90'. It went against Moneyball's pre-match estimate.

How the match unfolded

Salzburg struck first through Sota Kitano in the 9th minute, set up by Damir Redzic. Jesper Lindstrøm made it 0-2 to Salzburg in the 46th minute, set up by Damir Redzic. Blaz Kramer made it 1-2 to Celje in the 50th minute, set up by Svit Seslar. Celje levelled at 2-2 in the 90th minute through Armandas Kučys, set up by Yaya Dukuly. A late equaliser, and a point saved.

Salzburg led by two and were pegged back: Celje came back for a draw.

It was 0-1 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.

The referee, J. Brooks, showed 4 yellow cards: 2 to Celje and 2 to Salzburg.

Celje: Z. Željkovič, 4-3-3 · Salzburg: D. Röhl, 4-2-3-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Red Bull Salzburg -0.50, and on 2-2 it was wrong.

The estimate's most likely result was a Salzburg win at 51%; a draw, at 24%, is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (11%).

On goals the estimate was close: about 2.9 expected, 4 scored.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 56%; with 4 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 58%; both did, in line with the estimate.

The pre-match consensus had a Salzburg win at 49%, the same lean as Moneyball.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-22, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

Celje had 3 shots on target, Salzburg 4.

Celje had 50% of the ball.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Celje came into it with 4 Europa League matches played, scoring 1.3 and conceding 2.3 a match, with 1.07 expected goals for and – against, and had won 25% of their matches.

Salzburg came into it with 4 Europa League matches played, scoring 0.8 and conceding 2.0 a match, with 1.71 expected goals for and – against, and had won 25% of their matches.

Celje vs Salzburg: the match in numbers

CeljeMatch statisticsSalzburg
50%Ball possession50%
9Total shots15
3Shots on target4
4Big chances2
515Total passes512
85%Pass accuracy85%
2Corners3
14Fouls10
1Offsides1
21Tackles17
2Saves1
2Yellow cards2

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Damir Redzic (Salzburg), rated 7.7 by Sportmonks, with 2 assists.

Celje

Salzburg

The lowest-rated starter was Christian Zawieschitzky at 6.3. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Celje vs Salzburg

What was the score in Celje vs Salzburg?

Celje 2-2 Salzburg (half-time 0-1), Europa League, Thursday 22 October 2026.

Who scored in Celje vs Salzburg?

Sota Kitano 9', Jesper Lindstrøm 46', Blaz Kramer 50', Armandas Kučys 90'.

Did Moneyball predict Celje vs Salzburg correctly?

The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Red Bull Salzburg -0.50, and on 2-2 it was wrong.

Who was man of the match in Celje vs Salzburg?

Damir Redzic, rated 7.7 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Celje vs Salzburg?

J. Brooks.

Every match, before and after

Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.

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Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.