Celje 2-2 Salzburg: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Europa League Matchday 3 · Thursday 22 October 2026 · Stadion Z'dežele, Celje · referee J. Brooks · full time
Full time: Celje 2-2 Salzburg
Celje and Salzburg drew 2-2 in Europa League Matchday 3 on Thursday 22 October 2026 at Stadion Z'dežele. The goals: Sota Kitano 9', Jesper Lindstrøm 46', Blaz Kramer 50', Armandas Kučys 90'. It went against Moneyball's pre-match estimate.
How the match unfolded
Salzburg struck first through Sota Kitano in the 9th minute, set up by Damir Redzic. Jesper Lindstrøm made it 0-2 to Salzburg in the 46th minute, set up by Damir Redzic. Blaz Kramer made it 1-2 to Celje in the 50th minute, set up by Svit Seslar. Celje levelled at 2-2 in the 90th minute through Armandas Kučys, set up by Yaya Dukuly. A late equaliser, and a point saved.
Salzburg led by two and were pegged back: Celje came back for a draw.
It was 0-1 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.
The referee, J. Brooks, showed 4 yellow cards: 2 to Celje and 2 to Salzburg.
Celje: Z. Željkovič, 4-3-3 · Salzburg: D. Röhl, 4-2-3-1.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Red Bull Salzburg -0.50, and on 2-2 it was wrong.
The estimate's most likely result was a Salzburg win at 51%; a draw, at 24%, is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (11%).
On goals the estimate was close: about 2.9 expected, 4 scored.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 56%; with 4 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 58%; both did, in line with the estimate.
The pre-match consensus had a Salzburg win at 49%, the same lean as Moneyball.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-22, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
Celje had 3 shots on target, Salzburg 4.
Celje had 50% of the ball.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Celje came into it with 4 Europa League matches played, scoring 1.3 and conceding 2.3 a match, with 1.07 expected goals for and – against, and had won 25% of their matches.
Salzburg came into it with 4 Europa League matches played, scoring 0.8 and conceding 2.0 a match, with 1.71 expected goals for and – against, and had won 25% of their matches.
Celje vs Salzburg: the match in numbers
| Celje | Match statistics | Salzburg |
|---|---|---|
| 50% | Ball possession | 50% |
| 9 | Total shots | 15 |
| 3 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 4 | Big chances | 2 |
| 515 | Total passes | 512 |
| 85% | Pass accuracy | 85% |
| 2 | Corners | 3 |
| 14 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Offsides | 1 |
| 21 | Tackles | 17 |
| 2 | Saves | 1 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Damir Redzic (Salzburg), rated 7.7 by Sportmonks, with 2 assists.
Celje
- Blaz Kramer 7.5 1 goal
- Milot Avdyli 7.4
- Yaya Dukuly 7.3 1 assist
- Armandas Kučys 7.2 1 goal
- Svit Seslar 7.2 1 assist
Salzburg
- Damir Redzic 7.7 2 assists
- Sota Kitano 7.3 1 goal
- Jesper Lindstrøm 7.2 1 goal
- Abubakr Barry 7.2
- Haris Tabakovic 7.1
The lowest-rated starter was Christian Zawieschitzky at 6.3. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Celje: Ferencvárosi vs Celje Thursday 26 November 2026 · Europa League
- Salzburg: Salzburg vs Ararat-Armenia Thursday 26 November 2026 · Europa League
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Celje vs Salzburg
What was the score in Celje vs Salzburg?
Celje 2-2 Salzburg (half-time 0-1), Europa League, Thursday 22 October 2026.
Who scored in Celje vs Salzburg?
Sota Kitano 9', Jesper Lindstrøm 46', Blaz Kramer 50', Armandas Kučys 90'.
Did Moneyball predict Celje vs Salzburg correctly?
The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Red Bull Salzburg -0.50, and on 2-2 it was wrong.
Who was man of the match in Celje vs Salzburg?
Damir Redzic, rated 7.7 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Celje vs Salzburg?
J. Brooks.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.