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Bristol City 0-5 Norwich City: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

Full time: Bristol City 0-5 Norwich City

Norwich City beat Bristol City 5-0 in Championship Matchday 15 on Saturday 7 November 2026 at Ashton Gate Stadium. The goals: Paris Maghoma 22', Harry Darling 53', Andre Brooks 56', Jovon Makama 70', Mathias Kvistgaarden 80'. It went against Moneyball's pre-match estimate.

How Norwich City won it

Paris Maghoma put Norwich City ahead in the 22nd minute, set up by Sam Field. Harry Darling made it 0-2 to Norwich City in the 53rd minute. Andre Brooks made it 0-3 to Norwich City in the 56th minute. Jovon Makama made it 0-4 to Norwich City in the 70th minute, set up by Anthony Musaba. Mathias Kvistgaarden from the penalty spot made it 0-5 to Norwich City in the 80th minute.

It was 0-1 at half-time.

Bristol City: M. Skubala, 4-2-3-1 · Norwich City: P. Clement, 4-2-3-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Under 2.75, and on 0-5 it was wrong.

The estimate's most likely result was a Norwich City win at 43%, and that is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (13%).

The match had far more goals than expected: the estimate was about 2.8 goals and there were 5.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 52%; with 5 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 56%; they did not both score, against the estimate.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-07, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 2.41 for Bristol City and 1.60 for Norwich City.

Bristol City scored about 2.4 fewer than their chances were worth: poor finishing, or a goalkeeper at his best.

Norwich City made more of their chances than the xG suggests, by about 3.4 goals.

Bristol City created the better chances, 2.41 xG to 1.60, and still lost. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.

The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected Norwich City to create more, and Bristol City did.

Bristol City had 4 shots on target, Norwich City 7.

Bristol City had 53% of the ball, but Norwich City took the points.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Bristol City came into it with 15 Championship matches played, scoring 1.1 and conceding 1.6 a match, with 1.37 expected goals for and 1.58 against, and had won 33% of their matches.

Norwich City came into it with 15 Championship matches played, scoring 2.1 and conceding 1.6 a match, with 1.57 expected goals for and 1.54 against, and had won 47% of their matches.

Bristol City vs Norwich City: the match in numbers

Bristol CityMatch statisticsNorwich City
53%Ball possession47%
2.41Expected goals (xG)1.60
15Total shots17
4Shots on target7
3Big chances5
501Total passes455
83%Pass accuracy82%
8Corners3
11Fouls4
1Offsides0
20Tackles14
2Saves3

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Harry Darling (Norwich City), rated 8.3 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal.

Bristol City

Norwich City

The lowest-rated starter was Brad Collins at 5.7. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Bristol City vs Norwich City

What was the score in Bristol City vs Norwich City?

Bristol City 0-5 Norwich City (half-time 0-1), Championship, Saturday 7 November 2026.

Who scored in Bristol City vs Norwich City?

Paris Maghoma 22', Harry Darling 53', Andre Brooks 56', Jovon Makama 70', Mathias Kvistgaarden 80'.

Did Moneyball predict Bristol City vs Norwich City correctly?

The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Under 2.75, and on 0-5 it was wrong.

Who was man of the match in Bristol City vs Norwich City?

Harry Darling, rated 8.3 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Bristol City vs Norwich City?

L. Smith.

Every match, before and after

Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.

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Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.