Brest 1-2 Nice: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

How Nice won it

Ludovic Ajorque put Brest ahead in the 15th minute. Nice levelled at 1-1 in the 61st minute through Elye Wahi, set up by Mohamed Amoura. Nice turned it round: Sofiane Diop made it 1-2 in the 83rd minute, set up by Elye Wahi.

It was 1-0 at half-time, and the second half turned the match the other way.

The lead changed hands once.

The referee, G. Paradis, showed 10 yellow cards: 3 to Brest and 7 to Nice. Kenny Lala missed a penalty for Brest in the 90 minute.

Brest: J. Lachuer, 4-2-3-1 · Nice: O. Pantaloni, 3-4-2-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Brest -0.25, and on 1-2 it was wrong.

The estimate's most likely result was a Brest win at 52%; a Nice win, at 23%, is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (12%).

On goals the estimate was close: about 2.8 expected, 3 scored.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 53%; with 3 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 55%; both did, in line with the estimate.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-23, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 0.72 for Brest and 1.79 for Nice.

The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected Brest to create more, and Nice did.

Brest had 7 shots on target, Nice 2.

Nice's goalkeeper made 6 saves.

Brest had 50% of the ball, but Nice took the points.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Brest came into it with 10 Ligue 1 matches played, scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.2 a match, with 1.83 expected goals for and 1.27 against, and had won 40% of their matches.

Nice came into it with 10 Ligue 1 matches played, scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.2 a match, with 1.31 expected goals for and 1.47 against, and had won 50% of their matches.

Brest vs Nice: the match in numbers

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Ludovic Ajorque (Brest), rated 7.7 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal.

Brest

• Ludovic Ajorque 7.7 1 goal
• Hugo Magnetti 7.1
• Joris Chotard 7.1
• Kenny Lala 7.0
• Ibrahim Yayiya Kanté 6.8

Nice

• Elye Wahi 7.7 1 goal, 1 assist
• Sofiane Diop 7.6 1 goal
• Yehvann Diouf 7.3
• Mohamed Amoura 7.3 1 assist
• Alidu Seidu 7.0

The lowest-rated starter was Bradley Locko at 6.0. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

• Brest: Strasbourg vs Brest Saturday 21 November 2026 · Ligue 1
• Nice: Nice vs Paris Saint Germain Saturday 21 November 2026 · Ligue 1

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Brest vs Nice

What was the score in Brest vs Nice?

Brest 1-2 Nice (half-time 1-0), Ligue 1, Friday 23 October 2026.

Who scored in Brest vs Nice?

Ludovic Ajorque 15', Elye Wahi 61', Sofiane Diop 83'.

Did Moneyball predict Brest vs Nice correctly?

The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Brest -0.25, and on 1-2 it was wrong.

Who was man of the match in Brest vs Nice?

Ludovic Ajorque, rated 7.7 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Brest vs Nice?

G. Paradis.