Bragantino 3-0 Chapecoense: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

How Bragantino won it

Bragantino struck first through Wallace Yan in the 43rd minute. Wallace Yan made it 2-0 to Bragantino in the 51st minute, set up by Lucas Barbosa. Henry Mosquera made it 3-0 to Bragantino in the 90th minute, set up by José Herrera.

It was 1-0 at half-time.

Wallace Yan scored twice.

Bragantino: V. Carmo Mancini, 4-2-3-1 · Chapecoense: R. dos Santos Lacerda, 4-4-2.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Over 3.25. On 3-0 it was half wrong.

The estimate's most likely result was a Bragantino win at 70%, and that is what happened. Its single most likely score was 2-0 (10%).

On goals the estimate was close: about 3.3 expected, 3 scored.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 64%; with 3 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 56%; they did not both score, against the estimate.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-28, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 0.69 for Bragantino and 2.57 for Chapecoense.

Bragantino scored about 2.3 more than their chances were worth: clinical finishing, or a goalkeeper having a bad day.

Chapecoense left about 2.6 goals' worth of chances on the pitch.

Chapecoense created the better chances, 2.57 xG to 0.69, and still lost. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.

The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected Bragantino to create more, and Chapecoense did.

Bragantino had 11 shots on target, Chapecoense 3.

Chapecoense's goalkeeper made 8 saves.

Bragantino had 58% of the ball and turned it into the win.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Bragantino came into it with 34 Brasileirão matches played, scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.1 a match, with 1.51 expected goals for and 1.82 against, and had won 38% of their matches.

Chapecoense came into it with 33 Brasileirão matches played, scoring 1.0 and conceding 2.1 a match, with 1.08 expected goals for and 1.90 against, and had won 12% of their matches.

Bragantino vs Chapecoense: the match in numbers

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Wallace Yan (Bragantino), rated 8.7 by Sportmonks, with 2 goals.

Bragantino

• Wallace Yan 8.7 2 goals
• Lucas Barbosa 7.7 1 assist
• Ryan Augusto Tavares da Silva 7.5
• Alix 7.4
• Cleiton 7.4

Chapecoense

• Anderson 8.0
• Giovanni Augusto 7.1
• Bruno Matias 6.7
• Rosivan 6.7
• Kevin Ramírez 6.7

The lowest-rated starter was Bruno Nunes de Barros at 6.0. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

• Bragantino: Vitória vs Bragantino Thursday 19 November 2026 · Brasileirão
• Chapecoense: Chapecoense vs Vasco da Gama Saturday 14 November 2026 · Brasileirão

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Bragantino vs Chapecoense

What was the score in Bragantino vs Chapecoense?

Bragantino 3-0 Chapecoense (half-time 1-0), Brasileirão, Wednesday 28 October 2026.

Who scored in Bragantino vs Chapecoense?

Wallace Yan 43', Wallace Yan 51', Henry Mosquera 90'.

Did Moneyball predict Bragantino vs Chapecoense correctly?

Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Over 3.25. On 3-0 it was half wrong.

Who was man of the match in Bragantino vs Chapecoense?

Wallace Yan, rated 8.7 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Bragantino vs Chapecoense?

W. do Nascimento Magalhaes.