AFC Bournemouth 2-0 Sunderland: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

How AFC Bournemouth won it

AFC Bournemouth struck first through Marcus Tavernier in the 5th minute, set up by Evanilson. Evanilson made it 2-0 to AFC Bournemouth in the 48th minute.

It was 1-0 at half-time.

Kevin Danso of Sunderland was sent off in the 17th minute. The referee, C. Pawson, showed 5 yellow cards: 3 to AFC Bournemouth and 2 to Sunderland.

AFC Bournemouth: M. Rose, 4-1-4-1 · Sunderland: R. Le Bris, 4-2-3-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Over 2.50, and on 2-0 it was wrong.

The estimate's most likely result was an AFC Bournemouth win at 48%, and that is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (12%).

On goals the estimate was close: about 2.8 expected, 2 scored.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 53%; with 2 goals the under came in, against the way the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 56%; they did not both score, against the estimate.

The pre-match consensus had an AFC Bournemouth win at 45%, the same lean as Moneyball.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-09, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 0.08 for AFC Bournemouth and 3.25 for Sunderland.

AFC Bournemouth scored about 1.9 more than their chances were worth: clinical finishing, or a goalkeeper having a bad day.

Sunderland left about 3.2 goals' worth of chances on the pitch.

Sunderland created the better chances, 3.25 xG to 0.08, and still lost. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.

The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected AFC Bournemouth to create more, and Sunderland did.

AFC Bournemouth had 6 shots on target, Sunderland 0.

AFC Bournemouth had 65% of the ball and turned it into the win.

A red card changed the shape of the match, and no pre-match model can see one coming.

Where the two sides stood before this match

AFC Bournemouth came into it with 10 Premier League matches played, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.4 a match, with 1.60 expected goals for and 1.08 against, and had won 40% of their matches.

Sunderland came into it with 10 Premier League matches played, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.7 a match, with 1.58 expected goals for and 1.48 against, and had won 20% of their matches.

AFC Bournemouth vs Sunderland: the match in numbers

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Evanilson (AFC Bournemouth), rated 8.9 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal, 1 assist.

AFC Bournemouth

• Evanilson 8.9 1 goal, 1 assist
• James Hill 7.6
• Marcus Tavernier 7.5 1 goal
• António Silva 7.4
• Tyler Adams 7.3

Sunderland

• Granit Xhaka 7.1
• Enzo Le Fée 6.8
• Luke O'Nien 6.7
• Nordi Mukiele 6.7
• Jules Ahoka 6.6

The lowest-rated starter was Kevin Danso at 3.0. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

• AFC Bournemouth: AFC Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest Saturday 21 November 2026 · Premier League
• Sunderland: Aston Villa vs Sunderland Saturday 21 November 2026 · Premier League

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about AFC Bournemouth vs Sunderland

What was the score in AFC Bournemouth vs Sunderland?

AFC Bournemouth 2-0 Sunderland (half-time 1-0), Premier League, Sunday 18 October 2026.

Who scored in AFC Bournemouth vs Sunderland?

Marcus Tavernier 5', Evanilson 48'.

Did Moneyball predict AFC Bournemouth vs Sunderland correctly?

The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Over 2.50, and on 2-0 it was wrong.

Who was man of the match in AFC Bournemouth vs Sunderland?

Evanilson, rated 8.9 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed AFC Bournemouth vs Sunderland?

C. Pawson.