AFC Bournemouth 2-0 Leeds United: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

How AFC Bournemouth won it

AFC Bournemouth struck first through Evanilson in the 31st minute, set up by Justin Kluivert. Amine Adli made it 2-0 to AFC Bournemouth in the 90th minute (+4), set up by Junior Kroupi.

It was 1-0 at half-time.

The referee, M. Salisbury, showed 5 yellow cards: 2 to AFC Bournemouth and 3 to Leeds United.

AFC Bournemouth: M. Rose, 4-2-3-1 · Leeds United: D. Farke, 3-4-2-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

Moneyball's Match Board pick, Under 2.50, was right: 2-0 bears it out.

The estimate's most likely result was an AFC Bournemouth win at 49%, and that is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (12%).

On goals the estimate was close: about 2.8 expected, 2 scored.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 52%; with 2 goals the under came in, against the way the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 55%; they did not both score, against the estimate.

The pre-match consensus had an AFC Bournemouth win at 42%, the same lean as Moneyball.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-31, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 0.99 for AFC Bournemouth and 1.03 for Leeds United.

AFC Bournemouth scored about 1.0 more than their chances were worth: clinical finishing, or a goalkeeper having a bad day.

Leeds United left about 1.0 goals' worth of chances on the pitch.

AFC Bournemouth had 5 shots on target, Leeds United 1.

Leeds United had 56% of the ball, but AFC Bournemouth took the points.

Where the two sides stood before this match

AFC Bournemouth came into it with 10 Premier League matches played, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.4 a match, with 1.60 expected goals for and 1.08 against, and had won 40% of their matches.

Leeds United came into it with 10 Premier League matches played, scoring 1.0 and conceding 0.8 a match, with 1.35 expected goals for and 1.26 against, and had won 30% of their matches.

AFC Bournemouth vs Leeds United: the match in numbers

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Amine Adli (AFC Bournemouth), rated 7.5 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal.

AFC Bournemouth

• Amine Adli 7.5 1 goal
• Evanilson 7.4 1 goal
• Junior Kroupi 7.1 1 assist
• Ryan Christie 7.1
• Djordje Petrovic 7.1

Leeds United

• Harry Wilson 7.1
• James Justin 7.0
• Daniel James 6.9
• Anton Stach 6.8
• Gabriel Gudmundsson 6.8

The lowest-rated starter was James Trafford at 6.2. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

• AFC Bournemouth: AFC Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest Saturday 21 November 2026 · Premier League
• Leeds United: Chelsea vs Leeds United Saturday 21 November 2026 · Premier League

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about AFC Bournemouth vs Leeds United

What was the score in AFC Bournemouth vs Leeds United?

AFC Bournemouth 2-0 Leeds United (half-time 1-0), Premier League, Saturday 31 October 2026.

Who scored in AFC Bournemouth vs Leeds United?

Evanilson 31', Amine Adli 90+4'.

Did Moneyball predict AFC Bournemouth vs Leeds United correctly?

Moneyball's Match Board pick, Under 2.50, was right: 2-0 bears it out.

Who was man of the match in AFC Bournemouth vs Leeds United?

Amine Adli, rated 7.5 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed AFC Bournemouth vs Leeds United?

M. Salisbury.