Borussia Mönchengladbach 1-2 TSG Hoffenheim: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Bundesliga Matchday 6 · Sunday 18 October 2026 · Stadion im Borussia-Park, Mönchengladbach · referee S. Storks · full time
Full time: Borussia Mönchengladbach 1-2 TSG Hoffenheim
TSG Hoffenheim won 2-1 away at Borussia Mönchengladbach in Bundesliga Matchday 6 on Sunday 18 October 2026. The goals: Bambasé Conté 11', Wael Mohya 49', Alexander Prass 54'. It went against Moneyball's pre-match estimate.
How TSG Hoffenheim won it
The opening goal came in the 11th minute: Bambasé Conté for TSG Hoffenheim, set up by Alexander Prass. Borussia Mönchengladbach levelled at 1-1 in the 49th minute through Wael Mohya, set up by Florian Neuhaus. Alexander Prass made it 1-2 to TSG Hoffenheim in the 54th minute, set up by Adam Hlozek.
It was 0-1 at half-time.
The referee, S. Storks, showed 5 yellow cards: 3 to Borussia Mönchengladbach and 2 to TSG Hoffenheim.
Borussia Mönchengladbach: A. Blessin, 4-4-2 · TSG Hoffenheim: C. Ilzer, 4-2-3-1.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Over 3.50, and on 1-2 it was wrong.
The estimate's most likely result was a TSG Hoffenheim win at 47%, and that is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (9%).
On goals the estimate was close: about 3.7 expected, 3 scored.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 70%; with 3 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 71%; both did, in line with the estimate.
The pre-match consensus had a TSG Hoffenheim win at 46%, the same lean as Moneyball.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-09, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
On the day the expected goals were 1.84 for Borussia Mönchengladbach and 0.86 for TSG Hoffenheim.
TSG Hoffenheim made more of their chances than the xG suggests, by about 1.1 goals.
Borussia Mönchengladbach created the better chances, 1.84 xG to 0.86, and still lost. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.
The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected TSG Hoffenheim to create more, and Borussia Mönchengladbach did.
Borussia Mönchengladbach had 3 shots on target, TSG Hoffenheim 8.
Borussia Mönchengladbach's goalkeeper made 6 saves.
TSG Hoffenheim had 52% of the ball and turned it into the win.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Borussia Mönchengladbach came into it with 9 Bundesliga matches played, scoring 1.3 and conceding 2.8 a match, with 1.65 expected goals for and 2.34 against, and had won 11% of their matches.
TSG Hoffenheim came into it with 9 Bundesliga matches played, scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.9 a match, with 1.93 expected goals for and 1.52 against, and had won 44% of their matches.
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs TSG Hoffenheim: the match in numbers
| Borussia Mönchengladbach | Match statistics | TSG Hoffenheim |
|---|---|---|
| 48% | Ball possession | 52% |
| 1.84 | Expected goals (xG) | 0.86 |
| 9 | Total shots | 14 |
| 3 | Shots on target | 8 |
| 2 | Big chances | 3 |
| 401 | Total passes | 446 |
| 77% | Pass accuracy | 77% |
| 3 | Corners | 6 |
| 13 | Fouls | 13 |
| 3 | Offsides | 2 |
| 19 | Tackles | 14 |
| 6 | Saves | 2 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Bambasé Conté (TSG Hoffenheim), rated 8.3 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal.
Borussia Mönchengladbach
- Moritz Nicolas 7.5
- Kevin Diks 7.1
- Wael Mohya 7.1 1 goal
- Isac Lidberg 6.9
- Hugo Bolin 6.9
TSG Hoffenheim
- Bambasé Conté 8.3 1 goal
- Alexander Prass 8.2 1 goal, 1 assist
- Adam Hlozek 7.5 1 assist
- Fisnik Asllani 7.2
- Mats Rots 7.0
The lowest-rated starter was Vladimír Coufal at 6.0. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Borussia Mönchengladbach: Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Borussia Dortmund Saturday 21 November 2026 · Bundesliga
- TSG Hoffenheim: Eintracht Frankfurt vs TSG Hoffenheim Saturday 21 November 2026 · Bundesliga
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Borussia Mönchengladbach vs TSG Hoffenheim
What was the score in Borussia Mönchengladbach vs TSG Hoffenheim?
Borussia Mönchengladbach 1-2 TSG Hoffenheim (half-time 0-1), Bundesliga, Sunday 18 October 2026.
Who scored in Borussia Mönchengladbach vs TSG Hoffenheim?
Bambasé Conté 11', Wael Mohya 49', Alexander Prass 54'.
Did Moneyball predict Borussia Mönchengladbach vs TSG Hoffenheim correctly?
The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Over 3.50, and on 1-2 it was wrong.
Who was man of the match in Borussia Mönchengladbach vs TSG Hoffenheim?
Bambasé Conté, rated 8.3 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Borussia Mönchengladbach vs TSG Hoffenheim?
S. Storks.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.