Borneo 1-1 PSM: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Liga 1 Indonesia Matchday 9 · Saturday 7 November 2026 · Stadion Segiri, Samarinda · referee E. Efendi · full time
Full time: Borneo 1-1 PSM
Borneo and PSM drew 1-1 in Liga 1 Indonesia Matchday 9 on Saturday 7 November 2026 at Stadion Segiri. The goals: Juan Felipe Villa 43', Fahrul Aditia 55'. It went against Moneyball's pre-match estimate.
How the match unfolded
The opening goal came in the 43rd minute: Juan Felipe Villa for Borneo, set up by Gabriel Oliveira. PSM levelled at 1-1 in the 55th minute through Fahrul Aditia, set up by Rizky Eka Pratama.
It was 1-0 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.
Muhammad Mufli Hidayat of PSM was sent off in the 63rd minute. Stefan Jevtoski of PSM was sent off in the 90th minute (+7). The referee, E. Efendi, showed 5 yellow cards: 4 to Borneo and 1 to PSM.
Borneo: M. Tavares Jerónimo, 4-3-3 · PSM: D. Kalezić, 4-3-3.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
A miss for the model: 44% for a Borneo win, 29% for a draw, and football chose the second.
On goals the estimate was close: about 2.4 expected, 2 scored.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 44%; with 2 goals the under came in, as the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 49%; both did, against the estimate.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-07, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
Borneo had 4 shots on target, PSM 2.
Borneo had 57% of the ball.
A red card changed the shape of the match, and no pre-match model can see one coming.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Borneo came into it with 8 Liga 1 Indonesia matches played, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.3 a match, and had won 38% of their matches.
PSM came into it with 9 Liga 1 Indonesia matches played, scoring 1.1 and conceding 1.6 a match, and had won 22% of their matches.
Borneo vs PSM: the match in numbers
| Borneo | Match statistics | PSM |
|---|---|---|
| 57% | Ball possession | 43% |
| 7 | Total shots | 5 |
| 4 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 348 | Total passes | 287 |
| 85% | Pass accuracy | 79% |
| 4 | Corners | 6 |
| 18 | Fouls | 6 |
| 2 | Offsides | 0 |
| 0 | Tackles | 2 |
| 1 | Saves | 4 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 2 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Iago Mendonça (Borneo), rated 7.2 by Sportmonks.
Borneo
- Iago Mendonça 7.2
- Juan Felipe Villa 7.2 1 goal
- Hugo Samir 7.0
- Christian 6.9
- Reva Adi 6.8
PSM
- Rizky Eka Pratama 7.2 1 assist
- Hilman Syah 7.2
- Resky Fandi Witriawan 6.8
- Navarone Foor 6.7
- Luka Bulatović 6.7
The lowest-rated starter was Muhammad Mufli Hidayat at 5.8. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Borneo: Isenmulang Kalteng F.C. vs Borneo Sunday 22 November 2026 · Liga 1 Indonesia
- PSM: PSM vs Persija Saturday 21 November 2026 · Liga 1 Indonesia
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Borneo vs PSM
What was the score in Borneo vs PSM?
Borneo 1-1 PSM (half-time 1-0), Liga 1 Indonesia, Saturday 7 November 2026.
Who scored in Borneo vs PSM?
Juan Felipe Villa 43', Fahrul Aditia 55'.
Did Moneyball predict Borneo vs PSM correctly?
A miss for the model: 44% for a Borneo win, 29% for a draw, and football chose the second.
Who was man of the match in Borneo vs PSM?
Iago Mendonça, rated 7.2 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Borneo vs PSM?
E. Efendi.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.