Bologna 1-3 Inter: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

How Inter won it

Tommaso Pobega put Bologna ahead in the 10th minute, set up by Juan Miranda. Inter levelled at 1-1 in the 44th minute through Marcus Thuram, set up by Nicolò Barella. Inter turned it round: Carlos Augusto made it 1-2 in the 69th minute, set up by Piotr Zielinski. Ange-Yoan Bonny made it 1-3 to Inter in the 83rd minute, set up by Carlos Augusto.

It was 1-1 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.

The lead changed hands once.

The referee, D. Doveri, showed 7 yellow cards: 4 to Bologna and 3 to Inter.

Bologna: R. Palladino, 3-4-2-1 · Inter: C. Chivu, 3-5-2.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Bologna +0.75, and on 1-3 it was wrong.

The estimate's most likely result was an Inter win at 54%, and that is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (11%).

On goals the estimate was close: about 3.1 expected, 4 scored.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 59%; with 4 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 59%; both did, in line with the estimate.

The pre-match consensus had an Inter win at 58%, the same lean as Moneyball.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-09, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 2.65 for Bologna and 1.05 for Inter.

Bologna scored about 1.6 fewer than their chances were worth: poor finishing, or a goalkeeper at his best.

Inter made more of their chances than the xG suggests, by about 1.9 goals.

Bologna created the better chances, 2.65 xG to 1.05, and still lost. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.

The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected Inter to create more, and Bologna did.

Bologna had 4 shots on target, Inter 8.

Bologna's goalkeeper made 5 saves.

Inter had 65% of the ball and turned it into the win.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Bologna came into it with 11 Serie A matches played, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.3 a match, with 1.63 expected goals for and 1.23 against, and had won 45% of their matches.

Inter came into it with 11 Serie A matches played, scoring 2.5 and conceding 1.2 a match, with 2.62 expected goals for and 0.92 against, and had won 82% of their matches.

Bologna vs Inter: the match in numbers

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Tommaso Pobega (Bologna), rated 7.9 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal.

Bologna

• Tommaso Pobega 7.9 1 goal
• Juan Miranda 7.0 1 assist
• Federico Bernardeschi 6.9
• Lukasz Skorupski 6.8
• Nicolò Cambiaghi 6.8

Inter

• Carlos Augusto 7.9 1 goal, 1 assist
• Manuel Akanji 7.8
• Nicolò Barella 7.6 1 assist
• Federico Dimarco 7.3
• Petar Sučić 7.3

The lowest-rated starter was Nadir Zortea at 6.1. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

• Bologna: Bologna vs Udinese Sunday 22 November 2026 · Serie A
• Inter: Atalanta vs Inter Sunday 22 November 2026 · Serie A

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Bologna vs Inter

What was the score in Bologna vs Inter?

Bologna 1-3 Inter (half-time 1-1), Serie A, Saturday 17 October 2026.

Who scored in Bologna vs Inter?

Tommaso Pobega 10', Marcus Thuram 44', Carlos Augusto 69', Ange-Yoan Bonny 83'.

Did Moneyball predict Bologna vs Inter correctly?

The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Bologna +0.75, and on 1-3 it was wrong.

Who was man of the match in Bologna vs Inter?

Tommaso Pobega, rated 7.9 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Bologna vs Inter?

D. Doveri.