Blackburn Rovers 1-2 Stoke City: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Championship Matchday 14 · Tuesday 3 November 2026 · Ewood Park, Blackburn · referee A. Kitchen · full time
Full time: Blackburn Rovers 1-2 Stoke City
Stoke City beat Blackburn Rovers 2-1 in Championship Matchday 14 on Tuesday 3 November 2026 at Ewood Park. The goals: Jack McGlynn 43', Andri Gudjohnsen 87'. Moneyball's pre-match estimate had this exact score as the most likely.
How Stoke City won it
Jack McGlynn put Stoke City ahead in the 43rd minute. An own goal by Moussa Baradji made it 0-2 to Stoke City in the 68th minute. Andri Gudjohnsen made it 1-2 to Blackburn Rovers in the 87th minute.
It was 0-1 at half-time.
The referee, A. Kitchen, showed 7 yellow cards: 3 to Blackburn Rovers and 4 to Stoke City.
Blackburn Rovers: T. Mowbray, 4-2-3-1 · Stoke City: M. Robins, 3-4-3.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
Moneyball called this one exactly. The most likely score before kick-off was 1-2, at 8%, and 1-2 is how it finished.
On goals the estimate was close: about 2.7 expected, 3 scored.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 51%; with 3 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 56%; both did, in line with the estimate.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-03, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
On the day the expected goals were 1.37 for Blackburn Rovers and 1.53 for Stoke City.
Blackburn Rovers had 3 shots on target, Stoke City 3.
Blackburn Rovers had 58% of the ball, but Stoke City took the points.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Blackburn Rovers came into it with 15 Championship matches played, scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.5 a match, with 1.05 expected goals for and 1.83 against, and had won 40% of their matches.
Stoke City came into it with 15 Championship matches played, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.2 a match, with 1.06 expected goals for and 1.41 against, and had won 60% of their matches.
Blackburn Rovers vs Stoke City: the match in numbers
| Blackburn Rovers | Match statistics | Stoke City |
|---|---|---|
| 58% | Ball possession | 42% |
| 1.37 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.53 |
| 14 | Total shots | 11 |
| 3 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 2 | Big chances | 2 |
| 475 | Total passes | 347 |
| 83% | Pass accuracy | 78% |
| 6 | Corners | 5 |
| 12 | Fouls | 19 |
| 0 | Offsides | 1 |
| 29 | Tackles | 20 |
| 2 | Saves | 2 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Jack McGlynn (Stoke City), rated 7.6 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal.
Blackburn Rovers
- Todd Cantwell 7.5
- Hayden Carter 7.4
- Sam Morsy 7.2
- Andri Gudjohnsen 7.1 1 goal
- Oladapo Afolayan 7.0
Stoke City
- Jack McGlynn 7.6 1 goal
- Luke Graham 7.2
- Ben Wilmot 7.1
- Róbert Boženík 7.0
- Luca Bombino 6.9
The lowest-rated starter was Harry Pickering at 6.1. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Blackburn Rovers: Burnley vs Blackburn Rovers Sunday 22 November 2026 · Championship
- Stoke City: Stoke City vs Birmingham City Saturday 21 November 2026 · Championship
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Blackburn Rovers vs Stoke City
What was the score in Blackburn Rovers vs Stoke City?
Blackburn Rovers 1-2 Stoke City (half-time 0-1), Championship, Tuesday 3 November 2026.
Who scored in Blackburn Rovers vs Stoke City?
Jack McGlynn 43', Andri Gudjohnsen 87'.
Did Moneyball predict Blackburn Rovers vs Stoke City correctly?
Moneyball called this one exactly. The most likely score before kick-off was 1-2, at 8%, and 1-2 is how it finished.
Who was man of the match in Blackburn Rovers vs Stoke City?
Jack McGlynn, rated 7.6 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Blackburn Rovers vs Stoke City?
A. Kitchen.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.