MoneyballDixon-Coles · xG fusion
Back to Moneyball

Beşiktaş 2-2 Crystal Palace: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

Full time: Beşiktaş 2-2 Crystal Palace

Beşiktaş and Crystal Palace drew 2-2 in Europa League Matchday 3 on Thursday 22 October 2026 at Beşiktaş Stadium. The goals: Wilfred Ndidi 45+2', Yéremy Pino 51', Jean-Philippe Mateta 55', Junior Olaitan 73'. It went against Moneyball's pre-match estimate.

How the match unfolded

Wilfred Ndidi put Beşiktaş ahead in the 45th minute (+2), set up by Salih Özcan. Crystal Palace levelled at 1-1 in the 51st minute through Yéremy Pino, set up by Anan Khalaili. Crystal Palace turned it round: Jean-Philippe Mateta made it 1-2 in the 55th minute. Beşiktaş levelled at 2-2 in the 73rd minute through Junior Olaitan.

It was 1-0 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.

The lead changed hands once.

Ümit Akdağ of Beşiktaş was sent off in the 77th minute. The referee, D. Makkelie, showed 3 yellow cards: 2 to Beşiktaş and 1 to Crystal Palace.

Beşiktaş: V. Italiano, 4-1-4-1 · Crystal Palace: P. Sage, 3-4-2-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Under 3.00, and on 2-2 it was wrong.

The estimate's most likely result was a Beşiktaş win at 47%; a draw, at 24%, is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (11%).

On goals the estimate was close: about 3.1 expected, 4 scored.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 60%; with 4 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 62%; both did, in line with the estimate.

The pre-match consensus had a Beşiktaş win at 43%, the same lean as Moneyball.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-22, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

Beşiktaş had 2 shots on target, Crystal Palace 3.

Beşiktaş had 59% of the ball.

A red card changed the shape of the match, and no pre-match model can see one coming.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Beşiktaş came into it with 4 Europa League matches played, scoring 2.8 and conceding 2.0 a match, with 1.60 expected goals for and – against, and had won 50% of their matches.

Crystal Palace came into it with 4 Europa League matches played, scoring 2.3 and conceding 1.5 a match, with 1.62 expected goals for and – against, and had won 25% of their matches.

Beşiktaş vs Crystal Palace: the match in numbers

BeşiktaşMatch statisticsCrystal Palace
59%Ball possession41%
5Total shots8
2Shots on target3
2Big chances1
518Total passes355
83%Pass accuracy74%
1Corners3
11Fouls16
0Offsides2
15Tackles20
1Saves0
2Yellow cards1
1Red cards0

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Yéremy Pino (Crystal Palace), rated 7.7 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal.

Beşiktaş

Crystal Palace

The lowest-rated starter was Tiago Djaló at 5.9. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Beşiktaş vs Crystal Palace

What was the score in Beşiktaş vs Crystal Palace?

Beşiktaş 2-2 Crystal Palace (half-time 1-0), Europa League, Thursday 22 October 2026.

Who scored in Beşiktaş vs Crystal Palace?

Wilfred Ndidi 45+2', Yéremy Pino 51', Jean-Philippe Mateta 55', Junior Olaitan 73'.

Did Moneyball predict Beşiktaş vs Crystal Palace correctly?

The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Under 3.00, and on 2-2 it was wrong.

Who was man of the match in Beşiktaş vs Crystal Palace?

Yéremy Pino, rated 7.7 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Beşiktaş vs Crystal Palace?

D. Makkelie.

Every match, before and after

Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.

Open Moneyball Match Live All match reports

Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.