Benfica 1-0 Alverca: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

How Benfica won it

The opening goal came in the 51st minute: Vangelis Pavlidis from the penalty spot for Benfica.

It was 0-0 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.

The referee, B. Ribeiro Pires Costa, showed 4 yellow cards: 1 to Benfica and 3 to Alverca.

Benfica: M. Saraiva Da Silva, 4-2-3-1 · Alverca: Sérgio Ferreira, 5-4-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

Moneyball's Match Board pick, Under 3.50, was right: 1-0 bears it out.

The estimate's most likely result was a Benfica win at 78%, and that is what happened. Its single most likely score was 2-0 (10%).

The goals dried up: the estimate expected about 3.6 and the match produced one.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 69%; with 1 goal the under came in, against the way the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 53%; they did not both score, against the estimate.

The pre-match consensus had a Benfica win at 78%, the same lean as Moneyball.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-02, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 0.42 for Benfica and 1.92 for Alverca.

Alverca left about 1.9 goals' worth of chances on the pitch.

Alverca created the better chances, 1.92 xG to 0.42, and still lost. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.

The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected Benfica to create more, and Alverca did.

Benfica had 4 shots on target, Alverca 4.

Benfica had 65% of the ball and turned it into the win.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Benfica came into it with 11 Liga Portugal matches played, scoring 2.7 and conceding 0.9 a match, with 2.14 expected goals for and 0.87 against, and had won 82% of their matches.

Alverca came into it with 11 Liga Portugal matches played, scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.4 a match, with 1.18 expected goals for and 1.48 against, and had won 27% of their matches.

Benfica vs Alverca: the match in numbers

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Vangelis Pavlidis (Benfica), rated 7.5 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal.

Benfica

• Vangelis Pavlidis 7.5 1 goal
• Samuel Soares 7.5
• Samuel Dahl 7.5
• Claudio Echeverri 7.5
• Alexander Bah 7.4

Alverca

• Francisco Jorge Tavares Oliveira 7.1
• Davy Jean Carl Kamon Gui 6.9
• Matheus França 6.8
• Figueiredo 6.8
• Matheus Mendes 6.7

The lowest-rated starter was Yaya Bojang at 6.2. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

• Benfica: Viktoria Plzeň vs Benfica Thursday 26 November 2026 · Europa League

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Benfica vs Alverca

What was the score in Benfica vs Alverca?

Benfica 1-0 Alverca (half-time 0-0), Liga Portugal, Monday 2 November 2026.

Who scored in Benfica vs Alverca?

Vangelis Pavlidis 51'.

Did Moneyball predict Benfica vs Alverca correctly?

Moneyball's Match Board pick, Under 3.50, was right: 1-0 bears it out.

Who was man of the match in Benfica vs Alverca?

Vangelis Pavlidis, rated 7.5 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Benfica vs Alverca?

B. Ribeiro Pires Costa.