Baltika Kaliningrad 2-1 Akron: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Russian Premier League Matchday 13 · Sunday 1 November 2026 · Kaliningrad Stadium, Kaliningrad · referee K. Levnikov · full time
Full time: Baltika Kaliningrad 2-1 Akron
Baltika Kaliningrad won 2-1 at home to Akron in Russian Premier League Matchday 13 on Sunday 1 November 2026. The goals: Brayan Gil 52', Artem Shumanskiy 54', Ivan Belikov 68'. It went against Moneyball's pre-match estimate.
How Baltika Kaliningrad won it
Baltika Kaliningrad struck first through Brayan Gil in the 52nd minute. Akron levelled at 1-1 in the 54th minute through Artem Shumanskiy, set up by Slobodan Tedic. Ivan Belikov made it 2-1 to Baltika Kaliningrad in the 68th minute.
It was 0-0 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.
The referee, K. Levnikov, showed 4 yellow cards: 3 to Baltika Kaliningrad and 1 to Akron.
Baltika Kaliningrad: A. Talalaev, 5-4-1 · Akron: S. Blagojević, 4-3-3.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Under 2.25, and on 2-1 it was wrong.
The estimate's most likely result was a Baltika Kaliningrad win at 50%, and that is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-0 (13%).
On goals the estimate was close: about 2.3 expected, 3 scored.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 41%; with 3 goals the over came in, against the way the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 45%; both did, against the estimate.
The pre-match consensus had a Baltika Kaliningrad win at 50%, the same lean as Moneyball.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-01, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
On the day the expected goals were 1.09 for Baltika Kaliningrad and 1.62 for Akron.
The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected Baltika Kaliningrad to create more, and Akron did.
Baltika Kaliningrad had 8 shots on target, Akron 2.
Akron's goalkeeper made 6 saves.
Akron had 60% of the ball, but Baltika Kaliningrad took the points.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Baltika Kaliningrad came into it with 14 Russian Premier League matches played, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.1 a match, with 1.47 expected goals for and 0.83 against, and had won 29% of their matches.
Akron came into it with 14 Russian Premier League matches played, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.8 a match, with 1.02 expected goals for and 1.42 against, and had won 14% of their matches.
Baltika Kaliningrad vs Akron: the match in numbers
| Baltika Kaliningrad | Match statistics | Akron |
|---|---|---|
| 40% | Ball possession | 60% |
| 1.09 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.62 |
| 17 | Total shots | 12 |
| 8 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 1 | Big chances | 1 |
| 272 | Total passes | 428 |
| 65% | Pass accuracy | 72% |
| 6 | Corners | 4 |
| 17 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Offsides | 2 |
| 21 | Tackles | 10 |
| 1 | Saves | 6 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Vitaliy Gudiev (Akron), rated 7.6 by Sportmonks.
Baltika Kaliningrad
- Brayan Gil 7.5 1 goal
- E. Ćivić 7.3
- Ivan Belikov 7.2 1 goal
- Ilya Petrov 7.2
- Fahd Moufi 7.2
Akron
- Vitaliy Gudiev 7.6
- Artem Shumanskiy 7.4 1 goal
- Slobodan Tedic 7.1 1 assist
- Khetag Khosonov 7.0
- Karlen Hovhannisyan 6.8
The lowest-rated starter was Dmitriy Pestryakov at 5.9. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Baltika Kaliningrad: Orenburg vs Baltika Kaliningrad Saturday 21 November 2026 · Russian Premier League
- Akron: Akron vs Fakel Saturday 21 November 2026 · Russian Premier League
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Baltika Kaliningrad vs Akron
What was the score in Baltika Kaliningrad vs Akron?
Baltika Kaliningrad 2-1 Akron (half-time 0-0), Russian Premier League, Sunday 1 November 2026.
Who scored in Baltika Kaliningrad vs Akron?
Brayan Gil 52', Artem Shumanskiy 54', Ivan Belikov 68'.
Did Moneyball predict Baltika Kaliningrad vs Akron correctly?
The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Under 2.25, and on 2-1 it was wrong.
Who was man of the match in Baltika Kaliningrad vs Akron?
Vitaliy Gudiev, rated 7.6 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Baltika Kaliningrad vs Akron?
K. Levnikov.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.