Baltika Kaliningrad 0-1 Dynamo Makhachkala: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

How Dynamo Makhachkala won it

Dynamo Makhachkala struck first through Kirill Zinovich in the 4th minute, set up by Mohammadjavad Hosseinnejad.

It was 0-1 at half-time, and nothing changed after the break.

The referee, S. Ivanov, showed 1 yellow card: 1 to Baltika Kaliningrad and 0 to Dynamo Makhachkala. Brayan Gil missed a penalty for Baltika Kaliningrad in the 45 minute.

Baltika Kaliningrad: A. Talalaev, 3-4-3 · Dynamo Makhachkala: V. Evseev, 3-4-2-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

The prediction was right. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Under 2.00, and on 0-1 it was right.

The estimate's most likely result was a Baltika Kaliningrad win at 53%; a Dynamo Makhachkala win, at 20%, is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-0 (14%).

The goals dried up: the estimate expected about 2.4 and the match produced one.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 42%; with 1 goal the under came in, as the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 45%; they did not both score, in line with the estimate.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-08, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 0.53 for Baltika Kaliningrad and 2.30 for Dynamo Makhachkala.

Dynamo Makhachkala left about 1.3 goals' worth of chances on the pitch.

The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected Baltika Kaliningrad to create more, and Dynamo Makhachkala did.

Baltika Kaliningrad had 5 shots on target, Dynamo Makhachkala 3.

Dynamo Makhachkala's goalkeeper made 5 saves.

Baltika Kaliningrad had 67% of the ball, but Dynamo Makhachkala took the points.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Baltika Kaliningrad came into it with 14 Russian Premier League matches played, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.1 a match, with 1.47 expected goals for and 0.83 against, and had won 29% of their matches.

Dynamo Makhachkala came into it with 14 Russian Premier League matches played, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.9 a match, with 1.25 expected goals for and 1.50 against, and had won 36% of their matches.

Baltika Kaliningrad vs Dynamo Makhachkala: the match in numbers

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Kirill Zinovich (Dynamo Makhachkala), rated 8.1 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal.

Baltika Kaliningrad

• Eduardo Anderson 7.5
• E. Ćivić 7.5
• Loris Mouyokolo 7.2
• Fahd Moufi 7.1
• Egor Golenkov 7.1

Dynamo Makhachkala

• Kirill Zinovich 8.1 1 goal
• Timur Magomedov 7.9
• Andrés Alarcón 7.9
• Mohammadjavad Hosseinnejad 7.1 1 assist
• Mutalip Alibekov 7.1

The lowest-rated starter was Brayan Gil at 6.3. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

• Baltika Kaliningrad: Orenburg vs Baltika Kaliningrad Saturday 21 November 2026 · Russian Premier League
• Dynamo Makhachkala: Dynamo Makhachkala vs Spartak Moskva Sunday 22 November 2026 · Russian Premier League

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Baltika Kaliningrad vs Dynamo Makhachkala

What was the score in Baltika Kaliningrad vs Dynamo Makhachkala?

Baltika Kaliningrad 0-1 Dynamo Makhachkala (half-time 0-1), Russian Premier League, Sunday 8 November 2026.

Who scored in Baltika Kaliningrad vs Dynamo Makhachkala?

Kirill Zinovich 4'.

Did Moneyball predict Baltika Kaliningrad vs Dynamo Makhachkala correctly?

The prediction was right. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Under 2.00, and on 0-1 it was right.

Who was man of the match in Baltika Kaliningrad vs Dynamo Makhachkala?

Kirill Zinovich, rated 8.1 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Baltika Kaliningrad vs Dynamo Makhachkala?

S. Ivanov.