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AZ Alkmaar 0-2 FC Twente: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

Full time: AZ Alkmaar 0-2 FC Twente

FC Twente won 2-0 away at AZ Alkmaar in Eredivisie Matchday 10 on Sunday 25 October 2026. The goals: Sondre Ørjasæter 84', Lucas Vennegoor of Hesselink 90+3'. It went against Moneyball's pre-match estimate.

How FC Twente won it

Sondre Ørjasæter put FC Twente ahead in the 84th minute, set up by Younes Taha. Lucas Vennegoor of Hesselink made it 0-2 to FC Twente in the 90th minute (+3), set up by Joël Drommel.

It was 0-0 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.

Daouda Weidmann of FC Twente was sent off in the 88th minute for a second yellow card. The referee, A. Bos, showed 5 yellow cards: 3 to AZ Alkmaar and 2 to FC Twente.

AZ Alkmaar: L. Echteld, 4-2-3-1 · FC Twente: J. van den Brom, 4-2-3-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

A miss for the model: 44% for an AZ Alkmaar win, 30% for a FC Twente win, and football chose the second.

On goals the estimate was close: about 2.9 expected, 2 scored.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 55%; with 2 goals the under came in, against the way the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 58%; they did not both score, against the estimate.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-25, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 2.39 for AZ Alkmaar and 1.06 for FC Twente.

AZ Alkmaar scored about 2.4 fewer than their chances were worth: poor finishing, or a goalkeeper at his best.

AZ Alkmaar created the better chances, 2.39 xG to 1.06, and still lost. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.

AZ Alkmaar had 5 shots on target, FC Twente 5.

FC Twente's goalkeeper made 5 saves.

AZ Alkmaar had 51% of the ball, but FC Twente took the points.

A red card changed the shape of the match, and no pre-match model can see one coming.

Where the two sides stood before this match

AZ Alkmaar came into it with 12 Eredivisie matches played, scoring 2.0 and conceding 1.3 a match, with 2.32 expected goals for and 1.22 against, and had won 58% of their matches.

FC Twente came into it with 12 Eredivisie matches played, scoring 2.5 and conceding 1.0 a match, with 2.61 expected goals for and 0.78 against, and had won 58% of their matches.

AZ Alkmaar vs FC Twente: the match in numbers

AZ AlkmaarMatch statisticsFC Twente
51%Ball possession49%
2.39Expected goals (xG)1.06
13Total shots16
5Shots on target5
5Big chances3
437Total passes415
84%Pass accuracy82%
3Corners6
17Fouls16
1Offsides4
14Tackles16
3Saves5
3Yellow cards3
0Red cards1

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Joël Drommel (FC Twente), rated 8.1 by Sportmonks, with 1 assist.

AZ Alkmaar

FC Twente

The lowest-rated starter was Mexx Meerdink at 6.2. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about AZ Alkmaar vs FC Twente

What was the score in AZ Alkmaar vs FC Twente?

AZ Alkmaar 0-2 FC Twente (half-time 0-0), Eredivisie, Sunday 25 October 2026.

Who scored in AZ Alkmaar vs FC Twente?

Sondre Ørjasæter 84', Lucas Vennegoor of Hesselink 90+3'.

Did Moneyball predict AZ Alkmaar vs FC Twente correctly?

A miss for the model: 44% for an AZ Alkmaar win, 30% for a FC Twente win, and football chose the second.

Who was man of the match in AZ Alkmaar vs FC Twente?

Joël Drommel, rated 8.1 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed AZ Alkmaar vs FC Twente?

A. Bos.

Every match, before and after

Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.

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Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.