Auxerre 1-1 Le Mans: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Ligue 1 Matchday 8 · Sunday 25 October 2026 · Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps, Auxerre · referee W. Delajod · full time
Full time: Auxerre 1-1 Le Mans
Auxerre and Le Mans drew 1-1 in Ligue 1 Matchday 8 on Sunday 25 October 2026 at Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps. The goals: Cameron Archer 56'. It went against Moneyball's pre-match estimate.
How the match unfolded
An own goal by Lucas Buadés put Le Mans ahead in the 48th minute. Auxerre levelled at 1-1 in the 56th minute through Cameron Archer.
It was 0-0 at half-time.
The referee, W. Delajod, showed 4 yellow cards: 2 to Auxerre and 2 to Le Mans.
Auxerre: W. Still, 3-4-2-1 · Le Mans: P. Videira, 3-1-4-2.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Over 2.50, and on 1-1 it was wrong.
The estimate's most likely result was an Auxerre win at 43%; a draw, at 26%, is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (12%), exactly the final score.
On goals the estimate was close: about 2.9 expected, 2 scored.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 56%; with 2 goals the under came in, against the way the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 59%; both did, in line with the estimate.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-25, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
On the day the expected goals were 1.19 for Auxerre and 0.91 for Le Mans.
Auxerre had 5 shots on target, Le Mans 1.
Le Mans's goalkeeper made 5 saves.
Auxerre had 59% of the ball.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Auxerre came into it with 10 Ligue 1 matches played, scoring 1.3 and conceding 2.4 a match, with 1.13 expected goals for and 1.85 against, and had won 30% of their matches.
Le Mans came into it with 10 Ligue 1 matches played, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.9 a match, with 1.43 expected goals for and 1.79 against, and had won 10% of their matches.
Auxerre vs Le Mans: the match in numbers
| Auxerre | Match statistics | Le Mans |
|---|---|---|
| 59% | Ball possession | 41% |
| 1.19 | Expected goals (xG) | 0.91 |
| 13 | Total shots | 11 |
| 5 | Shots on target | 1 |
| 2 | Big chances | 3 |
| 490 | Total passes | 342 |
| 81% | Pass accuracy | 68% |
| 7 | Corners | 1 |
| 15 | Fouls | 12 |
| 0 | Offsides | 3 |
| 10 | Tackles | 31 |
| 1 | Saves | 5 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Lucas Bretelle (Le Mans), rated 8.2 by Sportmonks.
Auxerre
- Lamine Sy 7.2
- Cameron Archer 7.1 1 goal
- Kévin Danois 7.1
- Naouirou Ahamada 6.9
- Romain Faivre 6.9
Le Mans
- Lucas Bretelle 8.2
- Lucas Buadés 7.0
- Nicolas Kocik 7.0
- Jean Vercruysse 6.9
- Samuel Yohou 6.9
The lowest-rated starter was Antoine Rabillard at 6.2. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Auxerre: Monaco vs Auxerre Saturday 21 November 2026 · Ligue 1
- Le Mans: Olympique Marseille vs Le Mans Sunday 22 November 2026 · Ligue 1
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Auxerre vs Le Mans
What was the score in Auxerre vs Le Mans?
Auxerre 1-1 Le Mans (half-time 0-0), Ligue 1, Sunday 25 October 2026.
Who scored in Auxerre vs Le Mans?
Cameron Archer 56'.
Did Moneyball predict Auxerre vs Le Mans correctly?
The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Over 2.50, and on 1-1 it was wrong.
Who was man of the match in Auxerre vs Le Mans?
Lucas Bretelle, rated 8.2 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Auxerre vs Le Mans?
W. Delajod.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.