FC Augsburg 1-2 SC Freiburg: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

How SC Freiburg won it

Michael Gregoritsch put FC Augsburg ahead in the 18th minute, set up by Arijon Ibrahimović. SC Freiburg levelled at 1-1 in the 65th minute through Igor Matanovic, set up by Yannik Engelhardt. SC Freiburg turned it round: Cyriaque Irié made it 1-2 in the 85th minute, set up by Vincenzo Grifo. There was no time to answer it.

It was 1-0 at half-time, and the second half turned the match the other way.

The lead changed hands once.

The referee, C. Dingert, showed 3 yellow cards: 0 to FC Augsburg and 3 to SC Freiburg.

FC Augsburg: M. Baum, 3-4-2-1 · SC Freiburg: J. Schuster, 4-2-3-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Over 3.25. On 1-2 it was half wrong.

The estimate's most likely result was a SC Freiburg win at 43%, and that is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (9%).

On goals the estimate was close: about 3.5 expected, 3 scored.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 68%; with 3 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 69%; both did, in line with the estimate.

The pre-match consensus had a SC Freiburg win at 40%, the same lean as Moneyball.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-31, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 1.43 for FC Augsburg and 1.18 for SC Freiburg.

FC Augsburg had 5 shots on target, SC Freiburg 2.

FC Augsburg had 52% of the ball, but SC Freiburg took the points.

Where the two sides stood before this match

FC Augsburg came into it with 9 Bundesliga matches played, scoring 2.2 and conceding 2.2 a match, with 2.01 expected goals for and 2.70 against, and had won 22% of their matches.

SC Freiburg came into it with 9 Bundesliga matches played, scoring 2.2 and conceding 1.1 a match, with 1.87 expected goals for and 1.07 against, and had won 67% of their matches.

FC Augsburg vs SC Freiburg: the match in numbers

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Michael Gregoritsch (FC Augsburg), rated 7.9 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal.

FC Augsburg

• Michael Gregoritsch 7.9 1 goal
• Arijon Ibrahimović 7.7 1 assist
• Hennes Behrens 7.3
• Fabian Rieder 6.8
• Jeffrey Gouweleeuw 6.8

SC Freiburg

• Igor Matanovic 7.5 1 goal
• Philipp Lienhart 7.3
• Yannik Engelhardt 7.3 1 assist
• Cyriaque Irié 7.3 1 goal
• Vincenzo Grifo 7.0 1 assist

The lowest-rated starter was Finn Dahmen at 6.1. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

• FC Augsburg: FC Augsburg vs FSV Mainz 05 Sunday 22 November 2026 · Bundesliga
• SC Freiburg: Elversberg vs SC Freiburg Saturday 21 November 2026 · Bundesliga

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about FC Augsburg vs SC Freiburg

What was the score in FC Augsburg vs SC Freiburg?

FC Augsburg 1-2 SC Freiburg (half-time 1-0), Bundesliga, Saturday 31 October 2026.

Who scored in FC Augsburg vs SC Freiburg?

Michael Gregoritsch 18', Igor Matanovic 65', Cyriaque Irié 85'.

Did Moneyball predict FC Augsburg vs SC Freiburg correctly?

Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Over 3.25. On 1-2 it was half wrong.

Who was man of the match in FC Augsburg vs SC Freiburg?

Michael Gregoritsch, rated 7.9 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed FC Augsburg vs SC Freiburg?

C. Dingert.